Value bet: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOţelul to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72
Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 November the Liga I brings Oţelul against Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe at Stadionul Otelul. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Oţelul are 14th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 15 matches; Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe are 11th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Oţelul, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Farul Constanta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Concordia, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Oţelul.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oţelul 1.3 xG, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oţelul 45%, draw 22%, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 33%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oţelul 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oţelul45%fair 2.21 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe33%fair 3.03 · @3.40
2.38Expected goals
1.32Oţelul xG
1.06Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Oţelul 1.3 – 1.1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oţelul to win✗
45%
2.21
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.75
Draw no bet
Oţelul (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Oţelul to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oţelul / FT Oţelul✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.72
–
Recent results
Oţelul – last 6
LDLLLL
25 Oct
@ Farul Constanta
3–4
L
16 Oct
vs Csikszereda
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ FCSB
0–1
L
21 Sep
vs Corvinul Hunedoara
2–3
L
14 Sep
@ Universitatea Cluj
0–3
L
6 Sep
vs Rapid
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe – last 6
DLDLLW
29 Oct
@ Concordia
1–1
D
26 Oct
vs Universitatea Craiova
0–5
L
17 Oct
@ Petrolul Ploiesti
1–1
D
9 Oct
vs Dinamo Bucuresti
0–2
L
18 Sep
@ Uta Arad
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs CFR 1907 Cluj
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oţelul and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
What is the prediction for Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
On our numbers Oţelul have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 33%.
How many goals will there be in Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
Our predicted score is Oţelul 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (Liga I) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Otelul.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.