Value bet: Uta Arad to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUta Arad to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chanceUta Arad or draw ✗84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 6 November the Liga I brings Uta Arad against Petrolul Ploiesti at Arena Francisc Neuman. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Uta Arad are 10th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Petrolul Ploiesti are 4th (among the top four) with 27.
Current form
Uta Arad, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dinamo Bucuresti, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Petrolul Ploiesti, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CFR 1907 Cluj, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Uta Arad 1.9 xG, Petrolul Ploiesti 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Uta Arad 63%, draw 20%, Petrolul Ploiesti 16%.
Lower-risk option: Uta Arad or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Uta Arad to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uta Arad 2–0 Petrolul Ploiesti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Uta Arad63%fair 1.58 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.78
Petrolul Ploiesti16%fair 6.16 · @4.30
2.69Expected goals
1.88Uta Arad xG
0.81Petrolul Ploiesti xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Uta Arad 1.9 – 0.8 Petrolul Ploiesti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Uta Arad to win✗
63%
1.58
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Uta Arad or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.70
Draw no bet
Uta Arad (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Uta Arad -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.10
First team to score
Uta Arad to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Uta Arad ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Uta Arad / FT Uta Arad✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Uta Arad – last 6
LDWWLW
1 Nov
@ Dinamo Bucuresti
0–2
L
27 Oct
vs FC Botosani
2–2
D
24 Oct
@ Arges Pitesti
1–0
W
17 Oct
vs CFR 1907 Cluj
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ FC Botosani
0–2
L
18 Sep
vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Petrolul Ploiesti – last 6
DWWDLL
31 Oct
vs CFR 1907 Cluj
1–1
D
27 Oct
@ Progresul Spartac
6–0
W
23 Oct
@ FC Botosani
3–1
W
17 Oct
vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Farul Constanta
1–3
L
3 Oct
@ Chindia Targoviste
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uta Arad and Petrolul Ploiesti.
What is the prediction for Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
On our numbers Uta Arad have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Petrolul Ploiesti 16%.
How many goals will there be in Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Our predicted score is Uta Arad 2–0 Petrolul Ploiesti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Uta Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti (Liga I) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Francisc Neuman.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
