Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Karpaty to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKarpaty to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceKarpaty or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Livyi Bereh welcome Karpaty to Arena Livyi Bereg for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 29 August (13:30 WAT). In the table, Livyi Bereh are 12th, lower half, on 9 points after 10 matches; Karpaty are 5th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Livyi Bereh, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Dnister Zalishchyky, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Karpaty, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Obolon'-Brovar, at home. 3.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Karpaty, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Livyi Bereh.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Livyi Bereh 0.8 xG, Karpaty 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Livyi Bereh 17%, draw 24%, Karpaty 60%.
Lower-risk option: Karpaty or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Karpaty to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Karpaty or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Livyi Bereh 0–1 Karpaty. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Livyi Bereh17%fair 5.92 · @3.60
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.25
Karpaty60%fair 1.68 · @1.95
2.49Expected goals
0.78Livyi Bereh xG
1.71Karpaty xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Livyi Bereh 0.8 – 1.7 Karpaty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karpaty to win✗
60%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Karpaty or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.93
Draw no bet
Karpaty (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Livyi Bereh +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Karpaty to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karpaty / FT Karpaty✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Livyi Bereh – last 6
WDDWDD
22 Aug
@ Dnister Zalishchyky
3–0
W
15 Aug
@ Kryvbas KR
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Kudrivka
0–0
D
2 Aug
vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
2–1
W
21 Jul
vs Obolon'-Brovar
2–2
D
14 Jul
vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Karpaty – last 6
WWWWWW
22 Aug
vs Obolon'-Brovar
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Bukovyna
3–0
W
10 Aug
vs LNZ Cherkasy
3–0
W
1 Aug
@ Kryvbas KR
4–1
W
25 Jul
vs Veres Rivne
5–1
W
18 Jul
vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
4–0
W
3.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Livyi Bereh and Karpaty.
What is the prediction for Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty?
Our pick is Karpaty or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty?
On our numbers Livyi Bereh have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Karpaty 60%.
How many goals will there be in Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty?
Our predicted score is Livyi Bereh 0–1 Karpaty, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty?
Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Livyi Bereg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
