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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shakhtar Donetsk v Polessya: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ukraine · Arena Lviv

Shakhtar Donetsk

WWWDW
0–2
FT

Polessya

LWWLD
Shakhtar Donetsk 64%Draw 24%Polessya 12% Expected goals 2.00 – 0.79
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.38Odds
1

Value bet: Shakhtar Donetsk to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✗88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Shakhtar Donetsk v Polessya in the Premier League, played at Arena Lviv. In the table, Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 12 matches; Polessya are 2nd (among the top four) with 28. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Kharkiv, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Polessya, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Zorya Luhansk, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Shakhtar Donetsk, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Polessya.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Apr 2026) it ended Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Polessya.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shakhtar Donetsk 2.0 xG, Polessya 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shakhtar Donetsk 64%, draw 24%, Polessya 12%.
  • Lower-risk option: Shakhtar Donetsk or draw (88%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Shakhtar Donetsk to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shakhtar Donetsk 2–0 Polessya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shakhtar Donetsk64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.35
Polessya12%fair 8.44 · @4.50
2.79Expected goals
2.00Shakhtar Donetsk xG
0.79Polessya xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 2.0 – 0.8 Polessya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✗64%1.571.73 ▲
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✗88%1.131.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.95 ▲
Draw no betShakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet) ✗84%1.19–
Asian handicapShakhtar Donetsk -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreShakhtar Donetsk to score first ✗67%1.48–
Half-time resultShakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk ✗42%2.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.31–

Recent results

Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6

WWWDWD
16 Aug@ FC Kharkiv1–0W
9 Aug@ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2–0W
3 Augvs Kudrivka5–1W
26 Jul@ Bursaspor0–0D
23 Jul@ HNK Gorica2–0W
21 Jul@ NK Slaven Belupo2–2D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Polessya – last 6

LWWLDL
17 Augvs Zorya Luhansk1–2L
10 Augvs FC Kharkiv3–1W
2 Aug@ Chornomorets2–1W
29 Jul@ FC Copenhagen1–2L
23 Julvs FC Copenhagen3–3D
14 Jul@ Plzen0–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Apr 2026Shakhtar Donetsk v Polessya1–0
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk12921+1729
2Polessya11911+1728
3Dynamo Kyiv11722+723
4FC Kharkiv9702+1121
5Karpaty11542+1419
6LNZ Cherkasy11533+218
7Zorya Luhansk12534-118
8Kolos Kovalivka10334-112
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi12246-510
10Bukovyna11173-510
11Chornomorets11236-59
12Livyi Bereh10163-29
13Veres Rivne12237-119
14Obolon'-Brovar11155-138
15Kudrivka12228-178
16Kryvbas KR10145-87

More Premier League predictions

League hub
FT Kudrivka0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi3 129%3.00X24%3.00247%2.30 0.7–1.1xG NGNot both teams to score 58%@1.83 ✓
FT Livyi Bereh1 Karpaty1 117%3.60X24%3.25260%1.95 0.8–1.7xG X2Karpaty or draw 83%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya?

On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Polessya 12%.

How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya?

Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 2–0 Polessya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya?

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Lviv.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.