Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultZorya Luhansk to win ✓63% · @1.65
Double chanceZorya Luhansk or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.18
Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Zorya Luhansk v Chornomorets in the Premier League, played at Slavutych-Arena. In the table, Zorya Luhansk are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 12 matches; Chornomorets are 11th (lower half) with 9.
Current form
Zorya Luhansk, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Livyi Bereh, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Chornomorets, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Kharkiv, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zorya Luhansk 1.7 xG, Chornomorets 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zorya Luhansk 63%, draw 22%, Chornomorets 15%.
Lower-risk option: Zorya Luhansk or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Zorya Luhansk to win (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zorya Luhansk 1–0 Chornomorets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zorya Luhansk63%fair 1.59 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.60
Chornomorets15%fair 6.59 · @4.80
2.33Expected goals
1.67Zorya Luhansk xG
0.66Chornomorets xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Zorya Luhansk 1.7 – 0.7 Chornomorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zorya Luhansk to win✓
63%
1.59
1.65
Double chance
Zorya Luhansk or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Draw no bet
Zorya Luhansk (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Zorya Luhansk -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Zorya Luhansk to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zorya Luhansk / FT Zorya Luhansk✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
Zorya Luhansk – last 6
WLDWDL
12 Oct
@ Livyi Bereh
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Dynamo Kyiv
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Bukovyna
1–1
D
9 Sep
@ Yarud Mariupol'
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Veres Rivne
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs FC Kharkiv
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chornomorets – last 6
LDLDWL
10 Oct
vs FC Kharkiv
1–2
L
18 Sep
vs Obolon'-Brovar
1–1
D
14 Sep
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
0–2
L
4 Sep
vs Livyi Bereh
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Kryvbas KR
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Vilkhivtsi
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zorya Luhansk and Chornomorets.
What is the prediction for Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets?
Our pick is Zorya Luhansk to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets?
On our numbers Zorya Luhansk have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chornomorets 15%.
How many goals will there be in Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets?
Our predicted score is Zorya Luhansk 1–0 Chornomorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets?
Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Slavutych-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
