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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shakhtar Donetsk v Kolos Kovalivka: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ukraine · Arena Lviv
2–1
FT
Shakhtar Donetsk 72%Draw 20%Kolos Kovalivka 8% Expected goals 2.17 – 0.63
72%
Betarazi pick

Shakhtar Donetsk to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓72% · @1.25
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓92% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.06

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shakhtar Donetsk welcome Kolos Kovalivka to Arena Lviv for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 17 October (16:00 WAT). In the table, Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 12 matches; Kolos Kovalivka are 8th (upper half) with 12. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over AEK Athens FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Kolos Kovalivka, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Shakhtar Donetsk, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Kolos Kovalivka.

Head to head

When they last met (21 May 2026) it ended Shakhtar Donetsk 0–1 Kolos Kovalivka.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shakhtar Donetsk 2.2 xG, Kolos Kovalivka 0.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shakhtar Donetsk 72%, draw 20%, Kolos Kovalivka 8%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Shakhtar Donetsk to win (72%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shakhtar Donetsk 2–0 Kolos Kovalivka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shakhtar Donetsk72%fair 1.39 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @5.00
Kolos Kovalivka8%fair 11.78 · @10.00
2.80Expected goals
2.17Shakhtar Donetsk xG
0.63Kolos Kovalivka xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 2.2 – 0.6 Kolos Kovalivka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓72%1.391.25
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓92%1.091.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.952.05 ▲
Draw no betShakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapShakhtar Donetsk -1 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreShakhtar Donetsk to score first ✓73%1.38–
Half-time resultShakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time ✓52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk ✓48%2.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.06–

Recent results

Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6

WWWWWD
14 Octvs AEK Athens FC3–1W
9 Oct@ Veres Rivne3–0W
20 Sepvs LNZ Cherkasy3–0W
17 Sep@ Vilkhivtsi3–0W
14 Sepvs Chornomorets2–0W
10 Sep@ PSV Eindhoven1–1D
2.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kolos Kovalivka – last 6

WWLLDD
10 Octvs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi3–1W
20 Sep@ Kudrivka3–2W
16 Sepvs Karpaty2–3L
11 Sepvs Karpaty0–2L
5 Sep@ Kryvbas KR2–2D
28 Augvs Obolon'-Brovar0–0D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 May 2026Shakhtar Donetsk v Kolos Kovalivka0–1
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk12921+1729
2Polessya11911+1728
3Dynamo Kyiv11722+723
4FC Kharkiv9702+1121
5Karpaty11542+1419
6LNZ Cherkasy11533+218
7Zorya Luhansk12534-118
8Kolos Kovalivka10334-112
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi12246-510
10Bukovyna11173-510
11Chornomorets11236-59
12Livyi Bereh10163-29
13Veres Rivne12237-119
14Obolon'-Brovar11155-138
15Kudrivka12228-178
16Kryvbas KR10145-87

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Our pick is Shakhtar Donetsk to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kolos Kovalivka 8%.

How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 2–0 Kolos Kovalivka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Lviv.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.