Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.55 – our chance 50% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEngland to win ✓67% · @1.28
Double chanceEngland or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.34
England vs Congo DR: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 1 July the World Cup brings England against Congo DR at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Current form
England, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Panama, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Congo DR, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Uzbekistan, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours England, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Congo DR.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give England 2.0 xG, Congo DR 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – England 67%, draw 20%, Congo DR 13%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.55.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: England 2–0 Congo DR. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
England67%fair 1.49 · @1.28
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @4.90
Congo DR13%fair 7.97 · @12.00
2.73Expected goals
1.95England xG
0.78Congo DR xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: England 2.0 – 0.8 Congo DR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
England to win✓
67%
1.49
1.28
Double chance
England or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.55 ▲
Draw no bet
England (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
England -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.10
First team to score
England to score first✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
England ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT England / FT England✗
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
England – last 6
WDWWWL
27 Jun
@ Panama
2–0
W
23 Jun
vs Ghana
0–0
D
17 Jun
vs Croatia
4–2
W
10 Jun
vs Costa Rica
3–0
W
6 Jun
vs New Zealand
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Japan
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Congo DR – last 6
WLDLDD
28 Jun
vs Uzbekistan
3–1
W
24 Jun
@ Colombia
0–1
L
17 Jun
@ Portugal
1–1
D
9 Jun
vs Chile
1–2
L
3 Jun
vs Denmark
0–0
D
31 Mar
vs Jamaica
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between England and Congo DR.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win England vs Congo DR?
On our numbers England have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Congo DR 13%.
How many goals will there be in England vs Congo DR?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for England vs Congo DR?
Our predicted score is England 2–0 Congo DR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is England vs Congo DR?
England vs Congo DR (World Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 1 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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