Belgium vs Senegal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Senegal travel to face Belgium on Wednesday 1 July in the World Cup, with Lumen Field the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.
Current form
Belgium, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over New Zealand, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Senegal, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Iraq, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Belgium, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Senegal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Belgium 1.7 xG, Senegal 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 52% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Belgium 46%, draw 26%, Senegal 29%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Belgium 1–1 Senegal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Belgium46%fair 2.19 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.20
Senegal29%fair 3.51 · @3.25
2.97Expected goals
1.71Belgium xG
1.26Senegal xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Belgium 1.7 – 1.3 Senegal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Belgium to win✗
46%
2.19
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.77
Draw no bet
Belgium (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Senegal +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.09
First team to score
Belgium to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Belgium / FT Belgium✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Belgium – last 6
WDDWWD
27 Jun
@ New Zealand
5–1
W
21 Jun
vs Iran
0–0
D
15 Jun
vs Egypt
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Tunisia
5–0
W
2 Jun
@ Croatia
2–0
W
1 Apr
@ Mexico
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Senegal – last 6
WLLDLW
26 Jun
vs Iraq
5–0
W
23 Jun
@ Norway
2–3
L
16 Jun
@ France
1–3
L
10 Jun
@ Saudi Arabia
0–0
D
31 May
@ USA
2–3
L
31 Mar
vs Gambia
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Belgium and Senegal.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Belgium vs Senegal?
On our numbers Belgium have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Senegal 29%.
How many goals will there be in Belgium vs Senegal?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Belgium vs Senegal?
Our predicted score is Belgium 1–1 Senegal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Belgium vs Senegal?
Belgium vs Senegal (World Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 1 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Lumen Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1