Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSwitzerland to win ✓55% · @1.86
Double chanceSwitzerland or draw ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Switzerland vs Algeria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
04:00 WAT, Friday 3 July: Switzerland v Algeria in the World Cup, played at BC Place.
Current form
Switzerland, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Canada, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Algeria, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Austria, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Switzerland 1.9 xG, Algeria 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Switzerland 55%, draw 24%, Algeria 22%.
Lower-risk option: Switzerland or draw (78%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.38 – longer than our fair 1.33, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Switzerland 1–1 Algeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Switzerland55%fair 1.83 · @1.86
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.40
Algeria22%fair 4.59 · @4.20
3.09Expected goals
1.95Switzerland xG
1.14Algeria xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Switzerland 1.9 – 1.1 Algeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Switzerland to win✓
55%
1.83
1.86
Double chance
Switzerland or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Draw no bet
Switzerland (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Algeria +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.08
First team to score
Switzerland to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Switzerland ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Switzerland / FT Switzerland✓
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Switzerland – last 6
WWDDWD
24 Jun
vs Canada
2–1
W
18 Jun
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
4–1
W
13 Jun
@ Qatar
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Australia
1–1
D
31 May
vs Jordan
4–1
W
31 Mar
@ Norway
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Algeria – last 6
DWLWWD
28 Jun
vs Austria
3–3
D
23 Jun
@ Jordan
2–1
W
17 Jun
@ Argentina
0–3
L
11 Jun
@ Bolivia
4–0
W
3 Jun
@ Netherlands
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Uruguay
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Switzerland and Algeria.
What is the prediction for Switzerland vs Algeria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Switzerland vs Algeria?
On our numbers Switzerland have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Algeria 22%.
How many goals will there be in Switzerland vs Algeria?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Switzerland vs Algeria?
Our predicted score is Switzerland 1–1 Algeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Switzerland vs Algeria?
Switzerland vs Algeria (World Cup) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at BC Place.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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