Value bet: Gzira United to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBirkirkara to win ✓41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.25
Birkirkara vs Gzira United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Monday 17 August: Birkirkara v Gzira United in the Premier League, played at Centenary Stadium. In the table, Birkirkara are 7th on 16 points after 12 matches; Gzira United are 12th with 5.
Current form
Birkirkara, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mosta, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Gzira United, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Valletta FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Birkirkara 1.3 xG, Gzira United 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Birkirkara 41%, draw 23%, Gzira United 36%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Gzira United to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birkirkara 1–1 Gzira United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Birkirkara41%fair 2.46 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Gzira United36%fair 2.76 · @3.00
2.42Expected goals
1.25Birkirkara xG
1.16Gzira United xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Birkirkara 1.3 – 1.2 Gzira United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Birkirkara to win✓
41%
2.46
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.83
Draw no bet
Birkirkara (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Gzira United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Birkirkara to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Birkirkara / FT Birkirkara✓
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.25
–
Recent results
Birkirkara – last 6
DDLLWD
30 Apr
vs Mosta
1–1
D
24 Apr
@ Tarxien Rainbows
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Sliema Wanderers
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Hamrun Spartans
0–3
L
4 Mar
vs Zabbar St. Patrick
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Naxxar Lions
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gzira United – last 6
LLLWDW
23 May
@ Valletta FC
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Floriana
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Marsaxlokk
1–2
L
15 Apr
@ Hamrun Spartans
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Naxxar Lions
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Mosta
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birkirkara and Gzira United.
What is the prediction for Birkirkara vs Gzira United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Birkirkara vs Gzira United?
On our numbers Birkirkara have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gzira United 36%.
How many goals will there be in Birkirkara vs Gzira United?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birkirkara vs Gzira United?
Our predicted score is Birkirkara 1–1 Gzira United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Birkirkara vs Gzira United?
Birkirkara vs Gzira United (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Centenary Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
