Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHamrun Spartans to win ✗75% · @1.17
Double chanceHamrun Spartans or draw ✗94% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35
Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 17 August the Premier League brings Hamrun Spartans against Mosta at Centenary Stadium. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Hamrun Spartans are 5th on 18 points after 12 matches; Mosta are 9th with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hamrun Spartans, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to NSI Runavik, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Mosta, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Naxxar Lions, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mosta, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Hamrun Spartans.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Mosta 2–1 Hamrun Spartans.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hamrun Spartans 2.5 xG, Mosta 0.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hamrun Spartans 75%, draw 19%, Mosta 6%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamrun Spartans 2–0 Mosta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hamrun Spartans75%fair 1.33 · @1.17
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @5.50
Mosta6%fair 16.61 · @15.00
3.12Expected goals
2.46Hamrun Spartans xG
0.66Mosta xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
3–011%
1–011%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
From our goals model: Hamrun Spartans 2.5 – 0.7 Mosta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta?
On our numbers Hamrun Spartans have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mosta 6%.
How many goals will there be in Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta?
Our predicted score is Hamrun Spartans 2–0 Mosta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta?
Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Centenary Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
