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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tukums v Super Nova: numbers & prediction

Cup · Latvia

Tukums

LLLLW
1–2
FT

Super Nova

LWLLD
Tukums 36%Draw 26%Super Nova 38% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.16
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultSuper Nova to win ✓38% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.98

Tukums vs Super Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Super Nova travel to face Tukums on Saturday 11 July in the Cup – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Tukums, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Grobiņa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Super Nova, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ogre United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Jul 2026) it ended Tukums 1–2 Super Nova. The last 3 head-to-heads: Tukums 0 wins, Super Nova 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tukums 1.1 xG, Super Nova 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tukums 36%, draw 26%, Super Nova 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tukums 1–1 Super Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tukums36%fair 2.79 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.25
Super Nova38%fair 2.64 · @2.50
2.30Expected goals
1.14Tukums xG
1.16Super Nova xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Tukums 1.1 – 1.2 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSuper Nova to win ✓38%2.642.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.62
Draw no betSuper Nova (draw no bet) ✓51%1.95–
Asian handicapTukums +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.68–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreSuper Nova to score first ✗45%2.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Super Nova / FT Super Nova ✗21%4.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%12.98–

Recent results

Tukums – last 6

LLLLWD
5 Jul@ Grobiņa1–3L
1 Julvs Super Nova1–2L
26 Jun@ Ogre United2–3L
21 Jun@ FS Jelgava1–4L
17 Junvs Auda2–1W
12 Junvs BFC Daugavpils1–1D
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Super Nova – last 6

LWLLDL
6 Julvs Ogre United1–2L
1 Jul@ Tukums2–1W
25 Junvs FS Jelgava1–5L
21 Junvs Auda0–2L
16 Jun@ BFC Daugavpils0–0D
12 Jun@ FK Liepaja1–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Jul 2026Tukums v Super Nova1–2
11 May 2026Super Nova v Tukums1–1
22 Mar 2026Tukums v Super Nova1–2
Tukums vs Super Nova head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

FT Auda1 FK Liepaja0 147%2.00X24%3.25228%3.25 1.8–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.53 ✗
FT Riga Mariners3 BFC Daugavpils3 Pens 5–6 135%2.75X32%4.00233%2.00 2.3–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.62 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tukums vs Super Nova?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Tukums vs Super Nova?

On our numbers Tukums have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Super Nova 38%.

How many goals will there be in Tukums vs Super Nova?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tukums vs Super Nova?

Our predicted score is Tukums 1–1 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Tukums vs Super Nova?

Tukums vs Super Nova (Cup) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.