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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

NK Slaven Belupo v Shakhtar Donetsk: numbers & prediction

NK Slaven Belupo 12%Draw 19%Shakhtar Donetsk 70% Expected goals 1.04 – 2.50
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✗70% · @1.18
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓88% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.61

NK Slaven Belupo vs Shakhtar Donetsk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shakhtar Donetsk travel to face NK Slaven Belupo on Tuesday 21 July in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

NK Slaven Belupo, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Paks, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kolos Kovalivka, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Shakhtar Donetsk, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for NK Slaven Belupo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give NK Slaven Belupo 1.0 xG, Shakhtar Donetsk 2.5 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – NK Slaven Belupo 12%, draw 19%, Shakhtar Donetsk 70%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Slaven Belupo 1–2 Shakhtar Donetsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

NK Slaven Belupo12%fair 8.68 · @11.00
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @5.75
Shakhtar Donetsk70%fair 1.43 · @1.18
3.54Expected goals
1.04NK Slaven Belupo xG
2.50Shakhtar Donetsk xG
52%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
0–38%
1–18%
0–17%

From our goals model: NK Slaven Belupo 1.0 – 2.5 Shakhtar Donetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

NK Slaven BelupoShakhtar Donetsk
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+9%-5%
Goals conceded vs average+11%-17%
Our expected goals here0.922.02

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✗70%1.431.18
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓88%1.131.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.92–
Draw no betShakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet)86%1.17–
Asian handicapShakhtar Donetsk -1 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.461.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗53%1.89–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
First team to scoreShakhtar Donetsk to score first69%1.46–
Half-time resultShakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time ✗52%1.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk ✗46%2.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.61–

Recent results

NK Slaven Belupo – last 6

LLLWLL
16 Jul@ Paks3–5L
14 Julvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–3L
10 Julvs Debreceni VSC0–1L
8 Julvs Csikszereda3–1W
4 Julvs Zalaegerszegi TE2–3L
22 May@ NK Osijek0–2L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6

LWWWLL
21 Mayvs Kolos Kovalivka0–1L
17 May@ Kryvbas KR3–2W
13 Mayvs Obolon'-Brovar3–1W
10 May@ SK Poltava4–0W
7 May@ Crystal Palace1–2L
30 Aprvs Crystal Palace1–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between NK Slaven Belupo and Shakhtar Donetsk.

NK Slaven Belupo vs Shakhtar Donetsk head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NK Slaven Belupo vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win NK Slaven Belupo vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

On our numbers NK Slaven Belupo have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Shakhtar Donetsk 70%.

How many goals will there be in NK Slaven Belupo vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for NK Slaven Belupo vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our predicted score is NK Slaven Belupo 1–2 Shakhtar Donetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is NK Slaven Belupo vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

NK Slaven Belupo vs Shakhtar Donetsk (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.