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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sao Jose v Portuguesa RJ: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Francisco Novelletto Neto

Sao Jose

DDWWD
1–0
FT

Portuguesa RJ

WDLDD
Sao Jose 38%Draw 31%Portuguesa RJ 31% Expected goals 1.03 – 0.91
69%
Betarazi pick

Sao Jose or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSao Jose to win ✓38% · @2.38
Double chanceSao Jose or draw ✓69% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.41

Sao Jose vs Portuguesa RJ: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 4 July the Serie D brings Sao Jose against Portuguesa RJ at Francisco Novelletto Neto. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Sao Jose, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Santa Catarina, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Portuguesa RJ, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Noroeste, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sao Jose, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Portuguesa RJ.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sao Jose 1.0 xG, Portuguesa RJ 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sao Jose 38%, draw 31%, Portuguesa RJ 31%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sao Jose or draw (69%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sao Jose or draw (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sao Jose 1–0 Portuguesa RJ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sao Jose38%fair 2.63 · @2.38
Draw31%fair 3.21 · @2.62
Portuguesa RJ31%fair 3.24 · @3.10
1.94Expected goals
1.03Sao Jose xG
0.91Portuguesa RJ xG
51%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Sao Jose 1.0 – 0.9 Portuguesa RJ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSao Jose to win ✓38%2.632.38
Double chanceSao Jose or draw ✓69%1.451.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.962.15 ▲
Draw no betSao Jose (draw no bet) ✓55%1.81–
Asian handicapPortuguesa RJ +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreSao Jose to score first ✓45%2.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%14.41–

Recent results

Sao Jose – last 6

DDWWDD
27 Jun@ Santa Catarina1–1D
21 Junvs Santa Catarina1–1D
7 Jun@ Blumenau1–0W
31 Mayvs Independiente FSJ1–0W
24 Mayvs Marcílio Dias1–1D
17 May@ Brasil DE Pelotas0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Portuguesa RJ – last 6

WDLDDL
28 Jun@ Noroeste3–1W
21 Junvs Noroeste1–1D
6 Jun@ Portuguesa0–2L
30 Mayvs América RJ2–2D
18 Aprvs Madureira0–0D
12 Mar@ Paysandu1–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sao Jose and Portuguesa RJ.

Sao Jose vs Portuguesa RJ head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Cianorte4 XV de Piracicaba0 139%2.40X30%2.50231%3.00 1.2–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.30 ✗
FT CRAC2 Treze1 138%2.60X30%2.62232%2.80 1.2–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.20 ✓
FT Imperatriz1 Ferroviario1 131%3.00X29%2.70240%2.30 1.1–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.05 ✓
FT Maguary PE2 Iguatu3 141%2.05X28%2.80232%3.50 1.2–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.00 ✓
FT Nacional AM1 Capital Brasilia0 142%2.10X30%2.60228%3.75 1.2–1.0xG 1XNacional AM or draw 72%@1.22 ✓
FT Trem1 America-RN4 120%5.00X26%3.10254%1.62 1.1–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.00 ✓
FT Serra Branca0 Uberlandia1 136%2.30X31%2.62233%3.10 1.0–1.0xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.65 ✓
FT Águia de Marabá2 ABC1 133%2.75X27%2.88240%2.40 1.3–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.91 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sao Jose vs Portuguesa RJ?

Our pick is Sao Jose or draw with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Sao Jose vs Portuguesa RJ?

On our numbers Sao Jose have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Portuguesa RJ 31%.

How many goals will there be in Sao Jose vs Portuguesa RJ?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sao Jose vs Portuguesa RJ?

Our predicted score is Sao Jose 1–0 Portuguesa RJ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Sao Jose vs Portuguesa RJ?

Sao Jose vs Portuguesa RJ (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.