Value bet: Iguatu to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMaguary PE to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.62
Maguary PE vs Iguatu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Saturday 4 July: Maguary PE v Iguatu in the Serie D.
Current form
Maguary PE, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Piauí, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Iguatu, last 4: DWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tuna Luso, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Iguatu, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Maguary PE.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maguary PE 1.2 xG, Iguatu 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maguary PE 41%, draw 28%, Iguatu 32%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Iguatu to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.82, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maguary PE 1–1 Iguatu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maguary PE41%fair 2.45 · @2.05
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @2.80
Iguatu32%fair 3.16 · @3.50
2.30Expected goals
1.20Maguary PE xG
1.10Iguatu xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Maguary PE 1.2 – 1.1 Iguatu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maguary PE to win✗
41%
2.45
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Maguary PE (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Iguatu +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Maguary PE to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maguary PE / FT Maguary PE✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.62
–
Recent results
Maguary PE – last 6
LWLDDL
27 Jun
@ Piauí
0–1
L
21 Jun
vs Piauí
2–0
W
14 Jun
@ ABC
0–1
L
25 May
@ Laguna
1–1
D
17 May
@ Central SC
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Fortaleza EC
3–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Iguatu – last 4
DWWD
27 Jun
vs Tuna Luso
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ Tuna Luso
2–1
W
7 Jun
@ Sampaio Correa
1–0
W
30 May
vs Parnahyba
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maguary PE and Iguatu.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Maguary PE vs Iguatu?
On our numbers Maguary PE have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Iguatu 32%.
How many goals will there be in Maguary PE vs Iguatu?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maguary PE vs Iguatu?
Our predicted score is Maguary PE 1–1 Iguatu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Maguary PE vs Iguatu?
Maguary PE vs Iguatu (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.