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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

First Vienna v Sturm Graz II: numbers & prediction

2. Liga · Austria · Hohe Warte Stadium
4–0
FT
First Vienna 60%Draw 21%Sturm Graz II 19% Expected goals 2.09 – 1.04
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultFirst Vienna to win ✓60% · @1.68
Double chanceFirst Vienna or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07

First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:30 WAT, Saturday 1 August: First Vienna v Sturm Graz II in the 2. Liga, played at Hohe Warte Stadium. In the table, First Vienna are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 12 matches; Sturm Graz II are 12th (lower half) with 14. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

First Vienna, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mattersburg SV 2020, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Sturm Graz II, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours First Vienna, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.0 for Sturm Graz II.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended First Vienna 2–1 Sturm Graz II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give First Vienna 2.1 xG, Sturm Graz II 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – First Vienna 60%, draw 21%, Sturm Graz II 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: First Vienna or draw (81%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: First Vienna 2–1 Sturm Graz II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

First Vienna60%fair 1.67 · @1.68
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.75
Sturm Graz II19%fair 5.26 · @4.33
3.13Expected goals
2.09First Vienna xG
1.04Sturm Graz II xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: First Vienna 2.1 – 1.0 Sturm Graz II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFirst Vienna to win ✓60%1.671.68
Double chanceFirst Vienna or draw ✓81%1.231.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.60
Draw no betFirst Vienna (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapFirst Vienna -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.711.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.581.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
First team to scoreFirst Vienna to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultFirst Vienna ahead at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT First Vienna / FT First Vienna ✓40%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

First Vienna – last 6

WLDWWW
25 Jul@ Mattersburg SV 20202–1W
18 Jul@ TSV Hartberg0–2L
11 Julvs QPR0–0D
7 Jul@ Grazer AK4–2W
3 Jul@ Krems Rehberg2–0W
24 Jun@ Weiz6–2W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sturm Graz II – last 6

LLLLLL
25 Jul@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–4L
24 Jul@ Gleisdorf 091–2L
19 Julvs Al-Hilal Saudi FC1–2L
10 Julvs Beltinci2–3L
3 Julvs Budapest Honved1–2L
26 Jun@ Oberwart0–4L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Apr 2026First Vienna v Sturm Graz II2–1
First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II head-to-head page →

2. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC BW Linz121011+2931
2First Vienna12822+626
3Austria Vienna (Am)12723+523
4FC Liefering12624+220
5Austria Salzburg12615+319
6Admira Wacker12615+219
7Wacker Innsbruck12525+117
8SKU Amstetten12453017
9Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz12444-116
10Voitsberg12435+215
11SKN ST. Polten12435-115
12Sturm Graz II12426-414
13Floridsdorfer AC12426-514
14SV Kapfenberg12228-118
15Rapid Wien II12228-138
16WSPG Wels12228-158

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II?

On our numbers First Vienna have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sturm Graz II 19%.

How many goals will there be in First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II?

Our predicted score is First Vienna 2–1 Sturm Graz II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II?

First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II (2. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Hohe Warte Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.