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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Naprzód v Korona Kielce II: numbers & prediction

5–4
FT
Naprzód 38%Draw 21%Korona Kielce II 40% Expected goals 2.02 – 1.79
69%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.49Odds
1

Value bet: Naprzód to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKorona Kielce II to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.49
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.96

Naprzód vs Korona Kielce II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Naprzód welcome Korona Kielce II for a III Liga Group 4 fixture on Saturday 1 August (16:30 WAT). In the table, Naprzód are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Korona Kielce II are 15th (lower half) with 15. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Naprzód, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Busko-Zdroj, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Korona Kielce II, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Wiślanie Jaśkowice, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Momentum favours Korona Kielce II, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.5 for Naprzód.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Korona Kielce II 3–2 Naprzód.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Naprzód 2.0 xG, Korona Kielce II 1.8 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Naprzód 38%, draw 21%, Korona Kielce II 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.49.
  • Price worth noting: Naprzód to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.49 – longer than our fair 1.45, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naprzód 2–1 Korona Kielce II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Naprzód38%fair 2.61 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.70
Korona Kielce II40%fair 2.47 · @2.10
3.81Expected goals
2.02Naprzód xG
1.79Korona Kielce II xG
69%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: Naprzód 2.0 – 1.8 Korona Kielce II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKorona Kielce II to win ✗40%2.472.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.23
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.451.49
Draw no betKorona Kielce II (draw no bet) ✗51%1.95–
Asian handicapKorona Kielce II +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.181.16
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.501.54
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.871.54
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗72%1.401.21
First team to scoreNaprzód to score first52%1.93–
Half-time resultNaprzód ahead at half-time ✗36%2.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Naprzód / FT Naprzód ✗27%3.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.96–

Recent results

Naprzód – last 6

WLLLLL
18 Jul@ Busko-Zdroj3–0W
30 Mayvs Stal Kraśnik0–3L
23 May@ Chełmianka Chełm0–2L
13 May@ Wiślanie Jaśkowice0–1L
1 May@ Star Starachowice1–2L
17 Apr@ Korona Kielce II2–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Korona Kielce II – last 6

WWWWWW
30 Mayvs Wiślanie Jaśkowice4–1W
22 Mayvs Czarni Połaniec2–1W
13 Mayvs Wisłoka Dębica1–0W
1 May@ Wisła Kraków II3–2W
17 Aprvs Naprzód3–2W
2 Aprvs Star Starachowice3–2W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Apr 2026Korona Kielce II v Naprzód3–2
Naprzód vs Korona Kielce II head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chełmianka Chełm161240+2040
2KSZO 192916853+1329
3Hetman Zamosc16853+829
4Wisłoka Dębica16925+429
5Naprzód16844+528
6Czarni Połaniec16844+328
7Wisła Kraków II16745+125
8Wiślanie Jaśkowice16736+624
9Star Starachowice16655+323
10Siarka Tarnobrzeg16637021
11KS Wieczysta Krakow II16547-319
12Jarosław16538+218
13Busko-Zdroj16529-1417
14Sokół Kolb.16376-416
15Korona Kielce II16439-615
16Podlasie Biała Podlaska16349-1513
17Moravia Morawica163310-1012
18Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów163310-1312

More III Liga Group 4 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Naprzód vs Korona Kielce II?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.

Who will win Naprzód vs Korona Kielce II?

On our numbers Naprzód have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Korona Kielce II 40%.

How many goals will there be in Naprzód vs Korona Kielce II?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Naprzód vs Korona Kielce II?

Our predicted score is Naprzód 2–1 Korona Kielce II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Naprzód vs Korona Kielce II?

Naprzód vs Korona Kielce II (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.