Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Siarka Tarnobrzeg to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSiarka Tarnobrzeg to win ✗59% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Jarosław: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Wednesday 19 August: Siarka Tarnobrzeg v Jarosław in the III Liga Group 4. In the table, Siarka Tarnobrzeg are 10th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Jarosław are 12th (lower half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Siarka Tarnobrzeg, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Busko-Zdroj, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Jarosław, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to KS Wieczysta Krakow II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2.0 xG, Jarosław 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Siarka Tarnobrzeg 59%, draw 19%, Jarosław 22%.
Price worth noting: Siarka Tarnobrzeg to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2–1 Jarosław. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Siarka Tarnobrzeg59%fair 1.70 · @1.83
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @3.70
Jarosław22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
3.20Expected goals
2.04Siarka Tarnobrzeg xG
1.16Jarosław xG
50%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2.0 – 1.2 Jarosław expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Siarka Tarnobrzeg to win✗
59%
1.70
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Siarka Tarnobrzeg (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Jarosław +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Siarka Tarnobrzeg to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Siarka Tarnobrzeg ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Siarka Tarnobrzeg / FT Siarka Tarnobrzeg✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Siarka Tarnobrzeg – last 6
WLDLDL
15 Aug
@ Busko-Zdroj
4–1
W
8 Aug
vs Czarni Połaniec
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Hetman Zamosc
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Resovia Rzeszów
3–4
L
11 Jul
@ Wisłoka Dębica
0–0
D
30 May
vs Cracovia Kraków II
5–6
L
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jarosław – last 6
LLDWLW
15 Aug
vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Wisłoka Dębica
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs Sokół Kolb.
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Moravia Morawica
3–2
W
23 Jul
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
1–2
L
15 Jul
@ Czarni Połaniec
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Siarka Tarnobrzeg and Jarosław.
What is the prediction for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Jarosław?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Jarosław?
On our numbers Siarka Tarnobrzeg have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Jarosław 22%.
How many goals will there be in Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Jarosław?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Jarosław?
Our predicted score is Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2–1 Jarosław, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Jarosław?
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Jarosław (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
