Value bet: Czarni Połaniec to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCzarni Połaniec to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.78
Star Starachowice vs Czarni Połaniec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 19 August the III Liga Group 4 brings Star Starachowice against Czarni Połaniec. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Star Starachowice are 9th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Czarni Połaniec are 6th (upper half) with 28.
Current form
Star Starachowice, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Hetman Zamosc, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Czarni Połaniec, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Podlasie Biała Podlaska, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Czarni Połaniec, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Star Starachowice.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Star Starachowice 1.4 xG, Czarni Połaniec 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Star Starachowice 39%, draw 20%, Czarni Połaniec 41%.
Price worth noting: Czarni Połaniec to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Star Starachowice 1–2 Czarni Połaniec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Star Starachowice39%fair 2.58 · @2.20
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Czarni Połaniec41%fair 2.42 · @2.62
2.77Expected goals
1.36Star Starachowice xG
1.41Czarni Połaniec xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Star Starachowice 1.4 – 1.4 Czarni Połaniec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Czarni Połaniec to win✗
41%
2.42
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Czarni Połaniec (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Star Starachowice +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Czarni Połaniec to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Czarni Połaniec / FT Czarni Połaniec✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.78
–
Recent results
Star Starachowice – last 6
LDLWLL
15 Aug
@ Hetman Zamosc
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs KSZO 1929
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Wisła Kraków II
2–4
L
18 Jul
vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki
1–3
L
27 Jun
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Czarni Połaniec – last 6
LWWLLD
15 Aug
vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II
3–1
W
24 Jul
@ Sokół Kolb.
1–2
L
15 Jul
vs Jarosław
1–4
L
11 Jul
@ KSZO 1929
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Star Starachowice and Czarni Połaniec.
What is the prediction for Star Starachowice vs Czarni Połaniec?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Star Starachowice vs Czarni Połaniec?
On our numbers Star Starachowice have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Czarni Połaniec 41%.
How many goals will there be in Star Starachowice vs Czarni Połaniec?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Star Starachowice vs Czarni Połaniec?
Our predicted score is Star Starachowice 1–2 Czarni Połaniec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Star Starachowice vs Czarni Połaniec?
Star Starachowice vs Czarni Połaniec (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
