Value bet: Podlasie Biała Podlaska to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPodlasie Biała Podlaska to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.76
Jarosław vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Podlasie Biała Podlaska travel to face Jarosław on Saturday 22 August in the III Liga Group 4 – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Jarosław are 12th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Podlasie Biała Podlaska are 16th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
Jarosław, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Siarka Tarnobrzeg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Podlasie Biała Podlaska, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Busko-Zdroj, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Podlasie Biała Podlaska, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Jarosław.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jarosław 1.5 xG, Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jarosław 39%, draw 20%, Podlasie Biała Podlaska 41%.
Price worth noting: Podlasie Biała Podlaska to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jarosław 1–2 Podlasie Biała Podlaska. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jarosław39%fair 2.55 · @2.15
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.70
Podlasie Biała Podlaska41%fair 2.44 · @2.70
2.97Expected goals
1.47Jarosław xG
1.50Podlasie Biała Podlaska xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Jarosław 1.5 – 1.5 Podlasie Biała Podlaska expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Podlasie Biała Podlaska to win✗
41%
2.44
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Podlasie Biała Podlaska (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Jarosław +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Podlasie Biała Podlaska to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Podlasie Biała Podlaska / FT Podlasie Biała Podlaska✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
Jarosław – last 6
WLLDWL
19 Aug
@ Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Wisłoka Dębica
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs Sokół Kolb.
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Moravia Morawica
3–2
W
23 Jul
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Podlasie Biała Podlaska – last 6
WWDLLW
19 Aug
vs Busko-Zdroj
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Czarni Połaniec
2–0
W
7 Aug
vs Hetman Zamosc
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ KSZO 1929
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Jagiellonia II
3–4
L
15 Jul
vs Polonia Warszawa U19
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jarosław and Podlasie Biała Podlaska.
What is the prediction for Jarosław vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Jarosław vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
On our numbers Jarosław have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Podlasie Biała Podlaska 41%.
How many goals will there be in Jarosław vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jarosław vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
Our predicted score is Jarosław 1–2 Podlasie Biała Podlaska, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Jarosław vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
Jarosław vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
