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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Star Starachowice v Busko-Zdroj: numbers & prediction

1–1
FT
Star Starachowice 58%Draw 17%Busko-Zdroj 25% Expected goals 1.94 – 1.15
59%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultStar Starachowice to win ✗58% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 18.10

Star Starachowice vs Busko-Zdroj: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Star Starachowice v Busko-Zdroj in the III Liga Group 4. In the table, Star Starachowice are 9th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Busko-Zdroj are 13th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

Star Starachowice, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Czarni Połaniec, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Busko-Zdroj, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Podlasie Biała Podlaska, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Star Starachowice 1.9 xG, Busko-Zdroj 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Star Starachowice 58%, draw 17%, Busko-Zdroj 25%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Star Starachowice 2–1 Busko-Zdroj. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Star Starachowice58%fair 1.72 · @1.80
Draw17%fair 5.81 · @3.60
Busko-Zdroj25%fair 4.05 · @3.50
3.09Expected goals
1.94Star Starachowice xG
1.15Busko-Zdroj xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Star Starachowice 1.9 – 1.2 Busko-Zdroj expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStar Starachowice to win ✗58%1.721.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83%1.211.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.99–
Draw no betStar Starachowice (draw no bet)70%1.43–
Asian handicapBusko-Zdroj +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.681.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreStar Starachowice to score first ✗60%1.67–
Half-time resultStar Starachowice ahead at half-time ✗41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Star Starachowice / FT Star Starachowice ✗35%2.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6%18.10–

Recent results

Star Starachowice – last 6

WLDLWL
19 Augvs Czarni Połaniec2–0W
15 Aug@ Hetman Zamosc0–3L
9 Augvs KSZO 19290–0D
1 Aug@ Wisła Kraków II2–4L
18 Julvs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki2–1W
11 Julvs Lechia T. Mazowiecki1–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Busko-Zdroj – last 6

LLWDWL
19 Aug@ Podlasie Biała Podlaska1–2L
15 Augvs Siarka Tarnobrzeg1–4L
8 Aug@ KS Wieczysta Krakow II3–1W
2 Augvs Wisłoka Dębica1–1D
25 Julvs Nieciecza6–1W
21 Julvs Nea Salamis0–4L
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Star Starachowice and Busko-Zdroj.

Star Starachowice vs Busko-Zdroj head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chełmianka Chełm161240+2040
2KSZO 192916853+1329
3Hetman Zamosc16853+829
4Wisłoka Dębica16925+429
5Naprzód16844+528
6Czarni Połaniec16844+328
7Wisła Kraków II16745+125
8Wiślanie Jaśkowice16736+624
9Star Starachowice16655+323
10Siarka Tarnobrzeg16637021
11KS Wieczysta Krakow II16547-319
12Jarosław16538+218
13Busko-Zdroj16529-1417
14Sokół Kolb.16376-416
15Korona Kielce II16439-615
16Podlasie Biała Podlaska16349-1513
17Moravia Morawica163310-1012
18Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów163310-1312

More III Liga Group 4 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Star Starachowice vs Busko-Zdroj?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Star Starachowice vs Busko-Zdroj?

On our numbers Star Starachowice have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Busko-Zdroj 25%.

How many goals will there be in Star Starachowice vs Busko-Zdroj?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Star Starachowice vs Busko-Zdroj?

Our predicted score is Star Starachowice 2–1 Busko-Zdroj, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Star Starachowice vs Busko-Zdroj?

Star Starachowice vs Busko-Zdroj (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.