Value bet: Draw @ 3.60 – our chance 36% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✓36% · @3.60
Double chanceZaglebie Sosnowiec or draw ✓72% · @1.42
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.54
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗5% · fair 21.17
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra welcome Zaglebie Sosnowiec for a III Liga Group 3 fixture on Saturday 1 August (16:05 WAT). In the table, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra are 7th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Zaglebie Sosnowiec are 1st (leading the league) with 37. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Miedź Legnica II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Zaglebie Sosnowiec, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Podhale Nowy Targ, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Karkonosze Jelenia Góra, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1.1 xG, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 28%, draw 36%, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 36%.
Lower-risk option: Zaglebie Sosnowiec or draw (72%) at 1.42.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.54.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Zaglebie Sosnowiec or draw (72%, odds 1.42 – longer than our fair 1.39, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1–1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra28%fair 3.57 · @2.65
Draw36%fair 2.74 · @3.60
Zaglebie Sosnowiec36%fair 2.82 · @2.35
2.43Expected goals
1.10Karkonosze Jelenia Góra xG
1.33Zaglebie Sosnowiec xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1.1 – 1.3 Zaglebie Sosnowiec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Attack vs III Liga Group 3 average
-1%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
-48%
Our expected goals here
0.87
1.15
Our own ratings from every III Liga Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
36%
2.74
3.60 ▲
Double chance
Zaglebie Sosnowiec or draw✓
72%
1.39
1.42
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.54
Draw no bet
Zaglebie Sosnowiec (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.47
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.17
First team to score
Zaglebie Sosnowiec to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zaglebie Sosnowiec / FT Zaglebie Sosnowiec✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–2✗
5%
21.17
–
Recent results
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra – last 6
LWLWWW
25 Jul
vs Miedź Legnica II
1–3
L
11 Jul
@ Zagłębie Lubin II
4–0
W
8 Jul
@ Słowianin
0–3
L
4 Jul
@ Górnik Polkowice
3–1
W
30 May
vs Górnik Zabrze II
2–0
W
17 May
vs Polonia Nysa
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Zaglebie Sosnowiec – last 6
LDLWDL
18 Jul
vs Podhale Nowy Targ
1–4
L
4 Jul
vs Podbeskidzie
2–2
D
30 May
@ Sandecja Nowy Sącz
0–1
L
22 May
vs Kalisz
3–0
W
30 Apr
vs Stal Stalowa Wola
0–0
D
24 Apr
@ Podbeskidzie
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karkonosze Jelenia Góra and Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
What is the prediction for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
Our pick is Zaglebie Sosnowiec or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
On our numbers Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 36% and Zaglebie Sosnowiec 36%.
How many goals will there be in Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
Our predicted score is Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1–1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 16:05 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
