Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
Picks by market
ResultSparta Katowice to win ✗41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Zagłębie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 1 August the III Liga Group 3 brings Zagłębie Lubin II against Sparta Katowice at KGHM Zaglebie Arena. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Zagłębie Lubin II are 4th, among the top four, on 27 points after 16 matches; Sparta Katowice are 2nd (among the top four) with 36.
Current form
Zagłębie Lubin II, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Pardubice II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Sparta Katowice, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Widzew II, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Momentum favours Sparta Katowice, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.0 for Zagłębie Lubin II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zagłębie Lubin II 1.3 xG, Sparta Katowice 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zagłębie Lubin II 35%, draw 24%, Sparta Katowice 41%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.52.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.49). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zagłębie Lubin II 1–1 Sparta Katowice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zagłębie Lubin II35%fair 2.83 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.60
Sparta Katowice41%fair 2.46 · @2.40
2.91Expected goals
1.32Zagłębie Lubin II xG
1.60Sparta Katowice xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Zagłębie Lubin II 1.3 – 1.6 Sparta Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Zagłębie Lubin II
Sparta Katowice
Attack vs III Liga Group 3 average
+16%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
-41%
Our expected goals here
1.16
1.67
Our own ratings from every III Liga Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Katowice to win✗
41%
2.46
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.52
Draw no bet
Sparta Katowice (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Zagłębie Lubin II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.59
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.49
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
First team to score
Sparta Katowice to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Katowice / FT Sparta Katowice✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Zagłębie Lubin II – last 6
LLLLLL
25 Jul
vs Pardubice II
0–5
L
18 Jul
@ Lech Poznań II
0–3
L
15 Jul
vs Odra Bytom Odrzański
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
0–4
L
30 May
@ Goczałkowice Zdrój
2–3
L
22 May
vs Miedź Legnica II
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sparta Katowice – last 6
WWDWLW
25 Jul
@ Widzew II
5–0
W
18 Jul
vs Havířov
4–2
W
8 Jul
@ Tychy 71
2–2
D
24 May
@ Polonia Nysa
3–2
W
13 May
@ Starowice Dolne
1–2
L
9 May
vs Słowianin
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zagłębie Lubin II and Sparta Katowice.
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice?
On our numbers Zagłębie Lubin II have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sparta Katowice 41%.
How many goals will there be in Zagłębie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice?
Our predicted score is Zagłębie Lubin II 1–1 Sparta Katowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Zagłębie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice?
Zagłębie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at KGHM Zaglebie Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
