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Karkonosze Jelenia Góra v Goczałkowice Zdrój: numbers & prediction

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 43%Draw 19%Goczałkowice Zdrój 38% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.24
52%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.70Odds
2

Value bet: Goczałkowice Zdrój to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultKarkonosze Jelenia Góra to win ✓43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3% · fair 32.57

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra v Goczałkowice Zdrój in the III Liga Group 3. In the table, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra are 7th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Goczałkowice Zdrój are 11th (lower half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Stal Brzeg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Goczałkowice Zdrój, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Warta Gorzów, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Goczałkowice Zdrój, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra.

Head to head

When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0–1 Goczałkowice Zdrój.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1.3 xG, Goczałkowice Zdrój 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 43%, draw 19%, Goczałkowice Zdrój 38%.
  • Price worth noting: Goczałkowice Zdrój to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 2–1 Goczałkowice Zdrój. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra43%fair 2.34 · @2.00
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.80
Goczałkowice Zdrój38%fair 2.65 · @2.88
2.59Expected goals
1.35Karkonosze Jelenia Góra xG
1.24Goczałkowice Zdrój xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1.3 – 1.2 Goczałkowice Zdrój expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKarkonosze Jelenia Góra to win ✓43%2.342.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.95–
Draw no betKarkonosze Jelenia Góra (draw no bet) ✓53%1.88–
Asian handicapGoczałkowice Zdrój +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.941.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreKarkonosze Jelenia Góra to score first ✓48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Karkonosze Jelenia Góra / FT Karkonosze Jelenia Góra ✓23%4.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3%32.57–

Recent results

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra – last 6

LWLDLW
19 Sep@ Stal Brzeg0–1L
13 Sepvs Stilon Gorzów4–2W
5 Sep@ Zagłębie Lubin II0–1L
29 Augvs Odra Bytom Odrzański0–0D
23 Aug@ Górnik Polkowice1–2L
19 Augvs Barycz Sułów3–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Goczałkowice Zdrój – last 6

WLWDWL
19 Sepvs Warta Gorzów4–1W
12 Sep@ Miedź Legnica II0–5L
5 Sepvs Kluczbork3–0W
29 Aug@ Rakow II0–0D
22 Augvs Polonia Nysa2–0W
19 Aug@ Sparta Katowice1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 May 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra v Goczałkowice Zdrój0–1
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaglebie Sosnowiec161213+1637
2Sparta Katowice161132+2136
3Odra Bytom Odrzański16943+631
4Zagłębie Lubin II16763+727
5ROW Rybnik16826+826
6Miedź Legnica II16727+823
7Karkonosze Jelenia Góra16655+523
8Kluczbork16727-323
9Górnik Polkowice16646+122
10Barycz Sułów15636021
11Goczałkowice Zdrój16637-221
12Stal Brzeg16547+519
13Stilon Gorzów16466-318
14Carina Gubin16448-1316
15Ślęza Wrocław164210-1214
16Warta Gorzów16358-1914
17Rakow II16349-1113
18Polonia Nysa15348-1413

More III Liga Group 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?

On our numbers Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Goczałkowice Zdrój 38%.

How many goals will there be in Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?

Our predicted score is Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 2–1 Goczałkowice Zdrój, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.