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Miedź Legnica II v Sparta Katowice: numbers & prediction

Miedź Legnica II 37%Draw 20%Sparta Katowice 42% Expected goals 1.58 – 1.70
61%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultSparta Katowice to win ✓42% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.64

Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sparta Katowice travel to face Miedź Legnica II on Saturday 26 September in the III Liga Group 3 – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Miedź Legnica II are 6th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Sparta Katowice are 2nd (among the top four) with 36. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Miedź Legnica II, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 5–3 win over Ślęza Wrocław, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Sparta Katowice, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kluczbork, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sparta Katowice, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Miedź Legnica II.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Sparta Katowice 2–2 Miedź Legnica II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Miedź Legnica II 1.6 xG, Sparta Katowice 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Miedź Legnica II 37%, draw 20%, Sparta Katowice 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Miedź Legnica II 1–2 Sparta Katowice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Miedź Legnica II37%fair 2.67 · @2.38
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.60
Sparta Katowice42%fair 2.36 · @2.45
3.28Expected goals
1.58Miedź Legnica II xG
1.70Sparta Katowice xG
53%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Miedź Legnica II 1.6 – 1.7 Sparta Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSparta Katowice to win ✓42%2.362.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.89–
Draw no betSparta Katowice (draw no bet) ✓53%1.88–
Asian handicapMiedź Legnica II +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.631.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.71–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreSparta Katowice to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.66–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sparta Katowice / FT Sparta Katowice ✗25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.64–

Recent results

Miedź Legnica II – last 6

WWWDLL
19 Sep@ Ślęza Wrocław5–3W
12 Sepvs Goczałkowice Zdrój5–0W
5 Sep@ Stal Brzeg4–2W
28 Augvs Stilon Gorzów2–2D
22 Aug@ Zagłębie Lubin II2–3L
19 Augvs Odra Bytom Odrzański0–1L
3.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Sparta Katowice – last 6

WDWWWW
19 Sepvs Kluczbork2–1W
13 Sep@ Rakow II1–1D
5 Sepvs Polonia Nysa4–0W
29 Augvs Zaglebie Sosnowiec1–0W
22 Augvs Ślęza Wrocław3–0W
19 Augvs Goczałkowice Zdrój2–1W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Mar 2026Sparta Katowice v Miedź Legnica II2–2
Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaglebie Sosnowiec161213+1637
2Sparta Katowice161132+2136
3Odra Bytom Odrzański16943+631
4Zagłębie Lubin II16763+727
5ROW Rybnik16826+826
6Miedź Legnica II16727+823
7Karkonosze Jelenia Góra16655+523
8Kluczbork16727-323
9Górnik Polkowice16646+122
10Barycz Sułów15636021
11Goczałkowice Zdrój16637-221
12Stal Brzeg16547+519
13Stilon Gorzów16466-318
14Carina Gubin16448-1316
15Ślęza Wrocław164210-1214
16Warta Gorzów16358-1914
17Rakow II16349-1113
18Polonia Nysa15348-1413

More III Liga Group 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice?

On our numbers Miedź Legnica II have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sparta Katowice 42%.

How many goals will there be in Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice?

Our predicted score is Miedź Legnica II 1–2 Sparta Katowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice?

Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.