Value bet: Zaglebie Sosnowiec to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultZaglebie Sosnowiec to win ✓43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Zagłębie Lubin II vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Zagłębie Lubin II v Zaglebie Sosnowiec in the III Liga Group 3, played at KGHM Zaglebie Arena. In the table, Zagłębie Lubin II are 4th, among the top four, on 27 points after 16 matches; Zaglebie Sosnowiec are 1st (leading the league) with 37.
Current form
Zagłębie Lubin II, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Odra Bytom Odrzański, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Zaglebie Sosnowiec, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rakow II, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Zaglebie Sosnowiec, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Zagłębie Lubin II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zagłębie Lubin II 1.4 xG, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zagłębie Lubin II 37%, draw 20%, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 43%.
Price worth noting: Zaglebie Sosnowiec to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zagłębie Lubin II 1–2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zagłębie Lubin II37%fair 2.69 · @2.25
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.60
Zaglebie Sosnowiec43%fair 2.34 · @2.55
2.89Expected goals
1.38Zagłębie Lubin II xG
1.51Zaglebie Sosnowiec xG
50%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Zagłębie Lubin II 1.4 – 1.5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zaglebie Sosnowiec to win✓
43%
2.34
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Zaglebie Sosnowiec (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Zagłębie Lubin II +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Zaglebie Sosnowiec to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zaglebie Sosnowiec / FT Zaglebie Sosnowiec✓
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.46
–
Recent results
Zagłębie Lubin II – last 6
DDDWDW
10 Oct
@ Odra Bytom Odrzański
1–1
D
2 Oct
vs Górnik Polkowice
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Barycz Sułów
3–3
D
18 Sep
vs Carina Gubin
3–0
W
12 Sep
@ ROW Rybnik
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Zaglebie Sosnowiec – last 6
WWWWWL
14 Oct
vs Rakow II
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Kluczbork
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Odra Bytom Odrzański
1–0
W
18 Sep
@ Górnik Polkowice
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Polonia Nysa
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Barycz Sułów
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zagłębie Lubin II and Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
On our numbers Zagłębie Lubin II have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Zaglebie Sosnowiec 43%.
How many goals will there be in Zagłębie Lubin II vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
Our predicted score is Zagłębie Lubin II 1–2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Zagłębie Lubin II vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
Zagłębie Lubin II vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at KGHM Zaglebie Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
