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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rakow II v Warta Gorzów: numbers & prediction

3–2
FT
Rakow II 41%Draw 20%Warta Gorzów 39% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.36
54%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultRakow II to win ✓41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77

Rakow II vs Warta Gorzów: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Warta Gorzów travel to face Rakow II on Saturday 17 October in the III Liga Group 3 – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Rakow II are 17th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 16 matches; Warta Gorzów are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Rakow II, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Zaglebie Sosnowiec, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Warta Gorzów, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Polonia Nysa, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rakow II 1.4 xG, Warta Gorzów 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rakow II 41%, draw 20%, Warta Gorzów 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rakow II 2–1 Warta Gorzów. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rakow II41%fair 2.43 · @2.30
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Warta Gorzów39%fair 2.58 · @2.50
2.78Expected goals
1.42Rakow II xG
1.36Warta Gorzów xG
52%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–18%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: Rakow II 1.4 – 1.4 Warta Gorzów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRakow II to win ✓41%2.432.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.92–
Draw no betRakow II (draw no bet) ✓52%1.94–
Asian handicapWarta Gorzów +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.871.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
First team to scoreRakow II to score first ✓48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rakow II / FT Rakow II ✓23%4.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.77–

Recent results

Rakow II – last 6

LLWDWD
14 Oct@ Zaglebie Sosnowiec0–1L
10 Oct@ Miedź Legnica II1–2L
18 Sep@ Polonia Nysa2–0W
13 Sepvs Sparta Katowice1–1D
5 Sep@ Ślęza Wrocław2–1W
29 Augvs Goczałkowice Zdrój0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Warta Gorzów – last 6

LDDLWD
10 Octvs Polonia Nysa0–1L
3 Oct@ Sparta Katowice1–1D
26 Sepvs Ślęza Wrocław1–1D
19 Sep@ Goczałkowice Zdrój1–4L
12 Sepvs Stal Brzeg1–0W
5 Sep@ Stilon Gorzów1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rakow II and Warta Gorzów.

Rakow II vs Warta Gorzów head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaglebie Sosnowiec161213+1637
2Sparta Katowice161132+2136
3Odra Bytom Odrzański16943+631
4Zagłębie Lubin II16763+727
5ROW Rybnik16826+826
6Miedź Legnica II16727+823
7Karkonosze Jelenia Góra16655+523
8Kluczbork16727-323
9Górnik Polkowice16646+122
10Barycz Sułów15636021
11Goczałkowice Zdrój16637-221
12Stal Brzeg16547+519
13Stilon Gorzów16466-318
14Carina Gubin16448-1316
15Ślęza Wrocław164210-1214
16Warta Gorzów16358-1914
17Rakow II16349-1113
18Polonia Nysa15348-1413

More III Liga Group 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rakow II vs Warta Gorzów?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Rakow II vs Warta Gorzów?

On our numbers Rakow II have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Warta Gorzów 39%.

How many goals will there be in Rakow II vs Warta Gorzów?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rakow II vs Warta Gorzów?

Our predicted score is Rakow II 2–1 Warta Gorzów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Rakow II vs Warta Gorzów?

Rakow II vs Warta Gorzów (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.