Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 16.84
Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Noteć Czarnków travel to face Kalisz on Wednesday 19 August in the III Liga Group 2, with Stadion Miejski the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Kalisz are 10th, lower half, on 20 points after 16 matches; Noteć Czarnków are 9th (upper half) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kalisz, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kotwica Kórnik, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Noteć Czarnków, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Unia Swarzędz, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kalisz 1.9 xG, Noteć Czarnków 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kalisz 57%, draw 22%, Noteć Czarnków 21%.
Lower-risk option: Kalisz or draw (79%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kalisz to win (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kalisz 2–1 Noteć Czarnków. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kalisz57%fair 1.74 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.75
Noteć Czarnków21%fair 4.80 · @3.90
3.00Expected goals
1.93Kalisz xG
1.07Noteć Czarnków xG
49%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Kalisz 1.9 – 1.1 Noteć Czarnków expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kalisz to win✗
57%
1.74
1.70
Double chance
Kalisz or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Kalisz (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Noteć Czarnków +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Kalisz to score first✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Kalisz ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kalisz / FT Kalisz✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
6%
16.84
–
Recent results
Kalisz – last 6
DWLWDL
15 Aug
@ Kotwica Kórnik
2–2
D
9 Aug
vs Unia Swarzędz
1–0
W
5 Aug
@ Górnik Łęczna
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Flota Świnoujście
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Lech Poznań II
2–2
D
18 Jul
@ Unia Skierniewice
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Noteć Czarnków – last 6
WLLWWD
14 Aug
@ Unia Swarzędz
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Grom Nowy Staw
0–2
L
31 Jul
@ Gedania Gdansk
3–5
L
30 May
@ Wda Świecie
3–1
W
23 May
@ Elana Toruń
3–0
W
17 May
@ Stargard Szczeciński
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kalisz and Noteć Czarnków.
What is the prediction for Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków?
Our pick is Kalisz to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków?
On our numbers Kalisz have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Noteć Czarnków 21%.
How many goals will there be in Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków?
Our predicted score is Kalisz 2–1 Noteć Czarnków, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków?
Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
