Flota Świnoujście 60%Draw 18%Victoria Września 22%Expected goals 1.97 – 1.08
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
1
Value bet: Flota Świnoujście to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFlota Świnoujście to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Flota Świnoujście vs Victoria Września: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Flota Świnoujście welcome Victoria Września for a III Liga Group 2 fixture on Wednesday 19 August (16:00 WAT). In the table, Flota Świnoujście are 15th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Victoria Września are 17th (in the drop zone) with 14.
Current form
Flota Świnoujście, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bałtyk Koszalin, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Victoria Września, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Luzino, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Flota Świnoujście, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Victoria Września.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Flota Świnoujście 2.0 xG, Victoria Września 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Flota Świnoujście 60%, draw 18%, Victoria Września 22%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Flota Świnoujście to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flota Świnoujście 1–1 Victoria Września. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Flota Świnoujście60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @3.65
Victoria Września22%fair 4.52 · @3.40
3.06Expected goals
1.97Flota Świnoujście xG
1.08Victoria Września xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Flota Świnoujście 2.0 – 1.1 Victoria Września expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flota Świnoujście to win✓
60%
1.67
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.50
Draw no bet
Flota Świnoujście (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Victoria Września +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.54
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.21
First team to score
Flota Świnoujście to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Flota Świnoujście ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flota Świnoujście / FT Flota Świnoujście✓
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Flota Świnoujście – last 6
WWLDLL
15 Aug
@ Bałtyk Koszalin
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Kotwica Kórnik
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Kalisz
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Warta Gorzów
1–1
D
10 Jul
@ Świt Skolwin
2–3
L
30 May
@ Stargard Szczeciński
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Victoria Września – last 6
LLLWLL
14 Aug
vs Luzino
1–3
L
7 Aug
@ Polonia Środa
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Lech Poznań II
2–5
L
30 May
@ Lech Poznań II
2–1
W
23 May
vs Lipno Stęszew
1–3
L
13 May
@ Unia Swarzędz
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flota Świnoujście and Victoria Września.
What is the prediction for Flota Świnoujście vs Victoria Września?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Flota Świnoujście vs Victoria Września?
On our numbers Flota Świnoujście have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Victoria Września 22%.
How many goals will there be in Flota Świnoujście vs Victoria Września?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flota Świnoujście vs Victoria Września?
Our predicted score is Flota Świnoujście 1–1 Victoria Września, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Flota Świnoujście vs Victoria Września?
Flota Świnoujście vs Victoria Września (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
