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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Luzino v Grom Nowy Staw: numbers & prediction

Luzino

WLWLW
5–1
FT
Luzino 70%Draw 21%Grom Nowy Staw 9% Expected goals 2.93 – 1.16
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.32 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.32Odds

Picks by market

ResultLuzino to win ✓70% · @1.25
Double chanceLuzino or draw ✓91% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.97

Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Grom Nowy Staw travel to face Luzino on Friday 11 September in the III Liga Group 2 – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Luzino are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Grom Nowy Staw are 13th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Luzino, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Gedania Gdansk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Grom Nowy Staw, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Polonia Środa, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Momentum favours Luzino, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Grom Nowy Staw.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Jul 2026) it ended Luzino 0–2 Grom Nowy Staw.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Luzino 2.9 xG, Grom Nowy Staw 1.2 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Luzino 70%, draw 21%, Grom Nowy Staw 9%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Luzino 2–1 Grom Nowy Staw. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Luzino70%fair 1.43 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @5.30
Grom Nowy Staw9%fair 11.56 · @7.50
4.08Expected goals
2.93Luzino xG
1.16Grom Nowy Staw xG
64%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
4–16%
1–16%

From our goals model: Luzino 2.9 – 1.2 Grom Nowy Staw expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLuzino to win ✓70%1.431.25
Double chanceLuzino or draw ✓91%1.091.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.551.57
Draw no betLuzino (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapLuzino -1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.09–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.371.32
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓54%1.861.83
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗65%1.541.32
First team to scoreLuzino to score first ✓70%1.42–
Half-time resultLuzino ahead at half-time ✓56%1.79–
Half-time / full-timeHT Luzino / FT Luzino ✓51%1.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.97–

Recent results

Luzino – last 6

WLWLWW
5 Sep@ Gedania Gdansk4–0W
2 Sepvs Wisla Plock2–3L
28 Augvs Lipno Stęszew2–1W
23 Aug@ Stargard Szczeciński1–2L
19 Augvs Chemik Bydgoszcz3–1W
14 Aug@ Victoria Września3–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Grom Nowy Staw – last 6

DWLLLW
5 Sepvs Polonia Środa4–4D
29 Aug@ Lech Poznań II4–2W
23 Augvs Kluczevia Stargard3–4L
19 Aug@ Wda Świecie2–4L
15 Augvs Elana Toruń1–2L
8 Aug@ Noteć Czarnków2–0W
2.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Jul 2026Luzino v Grom Nowy Staw0–2
Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Środa161141+2237
2Kluczevia Stargard16934+430
3Luzino16925+1529
4Wda Świecie16853+429
5Lech Poznań II16835+1127
6Stargard Szczeciński16664+924
7Unia Swarzędz16646+422
8Bałtyk Koszalin16565+221
9Noteć Czarnków16637-221
10Kalisz16484-220
11Elana Toruń16556-320
12Gedania Gdansk16475019
13Grom Nowy Staw16619-119
14Chemik Bydgoszcz16466-518
15Flota Świnoujście16538-1318
16Lipno Stęszew164210-1114
17Victoria Września16286-1214
18Kotwica Kórnik163211-2211

More III Liga Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw?

On our numbers Luzino have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Grom Nowy Staw 9%.

How many goals will there be in Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw?

Our predicted score is Luzino 2–1 Grom Nowy Staw, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw?

Luzino vs Grom Nowy Staw (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.