Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.10
Polonia Środa vs Unia Swarzędz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 11 September the III Liga Group 2 brings Polonia Środa against Unia Swarzędz. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Polonia Środa are 1st, leading the league, on 37 points after 16 matches; Unia Swarzędz are 7th (upper half) with 22. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Polonia Środa, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Grom Nowy Staw, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Unia Swarzędz, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lech Poznań II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Polonia Środa, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Unia Swarzędz.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended Polonia Środa 0–1 Unia Swarzędz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Polonia Środa 2.7 xG, Unia Swarzędz 1.1 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Polonia Środa 70%, draw 19%, Unia Swarzędz 11%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polonia Środa 2–1 Unia Swarzędz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Polonia Środa70%fair 1.43 · @1.25
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @5.25
Unia Swarzędz11%fair 8.78 · @7.50
3.77Expected goals
2.69Polonia Środa xG
1.08Unia Swarzędz xG
52%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Polonia Środa 2.7 – 1.1 Unia Swarzędz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Polonia Środa vs Unia Swarzędz?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Polonia Środa vs Unia Swarzędz?
On our numbers Polonia Środa have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Unia Swarzędz 11%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Środa vs Unia Swarzędz?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Środa vs Unia Swarzędz?
Our predicted score is Polonia Środa 2–1 Unia Swarzędz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Polonia Środa vs Unia Swarzędz?
Polonia Środa vs Unia Swarzędz (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
