Gedania Gdansk 46%Draw 20%Victoria Września 34%Expected goals 1.90 – 1.62
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultGedania Gdansk to win ✗46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Gedania Gdansk vs Victoria Września: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gedania Gdansk welcome Victoria Września for a III Liga Group 2 fixture on Saturday 3 October (11:00 WAT). In the table, Gedania Gdansk are 12th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Victoria Września are 17th (in the drop zone) with 14.
Current form
Gedania Gdansk, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Bałtyk Koszalin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Victoria Września, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lipno Stęszew, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Victoria Września, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Gedania Gdansk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gedania Gdansk 1.9 xG, Victoria Września 1.6 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gedania Gdansk 46%, draw 20%, Victoria Września 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gedania Gdansk 2–1 Victoria Września. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gedania Gdansk46%fair 2.19 · @2.15
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Victoria Września34%fair 2.92 · @2.70
3.51Expected goals
1.90Gedania Gdansk xG
1.62Victoria Września xG
55%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
3–15%
From our goals model: Gedania Gdansk 1.9 – 1.6 Victoria Września expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gedania Gdansk to win✗
46%
2.19
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Gedania Gdansk (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Victoria Września +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
First team to score
Gedania Gdansk to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gedania Gdansk / FT Gedania Gdansk✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
Gedania Gdansk – last 6
LWDLLL
26 Sep
@ Bałtyk Koszalin
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Kotwica Kórnik
6–1
W
12 Sep
@ Flota Świnoujście
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Luzino
0–4
L
28 Aug
@ Polonia Środa
3–4
L
23 Aug
vs Lech Poznań II
2–3
L
2.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Victoria Września – last 6
DDDDLW
26 Sep
vs Lipno Stęszew
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Stargard Szczeciński
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Kalisz
3–3
D
29 Aug
@ Bałtyk Koszalin
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Kotwica Kórnik
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gedania Gdansk and Victoria Września.
What is the prediction for Gedania Gdansk vs Victoria Września?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Gedania Gdansk vs Victoria Września?
On our numbers Gedania Gdansk have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Victoria Września 34%.
How many goals will there be in Gedania Gdansk vs Victoria Września?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gedania Gdansk vs Victoria Września?
Our predicted score is Gedania Gdansk 2–1 Victoria Września, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Gedania Gdansk vs Victoria Września?
Gedania Gdansk vs Victoria Września (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
