Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Grom Nowy Staw to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGrom Nowy Staw to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the III Liga Group 2 brings Grom Nowy Staw against Bałtyk Koszalin. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT. In the table, Grom Nowy Staw are 13th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Bałtyk Koszalin are 8th (upper half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Grom Nowy Staw, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Kotwica Kórnik, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Bałtyk Koszalin, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Gedania Gdansk, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grom Nowy Staw 2.2 xG, Bałtyk Koszalin 1.4 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grom Nowy Staw 58%, draw 16%, Bałtyk Koszalin 26%.
Price worth noting: Grom Nowy Staw to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grom Nowy Staw 2–1 Bałtyk Koszalin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grom Nowy Staw58%fair 1.72 · @1.91
Draw16%fair 6.36 · @3.75
Bałtyk Koszalin26%fair 3.81 · @3.10
3.61Expected goals
2.21Grom Nowy Staw xG
1.40Bałtyk Koszalin xG
55%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Grom Nowy Staw 2.2 – 1.4 Bałtyk Koszalin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grom Nowy Staw to win✗
58%
1.72
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Grom Nowy Staw (draw no bet)✗
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Bałtyk Koszalin +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
First team to score
Grom Nowy Staw to score first✗
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Grom Nowy Staw ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grom Nowy Staw / FT Grom Nowy Staw✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
Grom Nowy Staw – last 6
WWLDWL
26 Sep
@ Kotwica Kórnik
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Flota Świnoujście
5–0
W
11 Sep
@ Luzino
1–5
L
5 Sep
vs Polonia Środa
4–4
D
29 Aug
@ Lech Poznań II
4–2
W
23 Aug
vs Kluczevia Stargard
3–4
L
3.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bałtyk Koszalin – last 6
WLLDWD
26 Sep
vs Gedania Gdansk
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Lipno Stęszew
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Stargard Szczeciński
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Chemik Bydgoszcz
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Victoria Września
2–0
W
23 Aug
vs Kalisz
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grom Nowy Staw and Bałtyk Koszalin.
What is the prediction for Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
On our numbers Grom Nowy Staw have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Bałtyk Koszalin 26%.
How many goals will there be in Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
Our predicted score is Grom Nowy Staw 2–1 Bałtyk Koszalin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
