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Gedania Gdansk v Stargard Szczeciński: numbers & prediction

Gedania Gdansk 22%Draw 15%Stargard Szczeciński 63% Expected goals 1.38 – 2.47
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds
2

Value bet: Stargard Szczeciński to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultStargard Szczeciński to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.17

Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gedania Gdansk welcome Stargard Szczeciński for a III Liga Group 2 fixture on Saturday 17 October (11:00 WAT). In the table, Gedania Gdansk are 12th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Stargard Szczeciński are 6th (upper half) with 24.

Current form

Gedania Gdansk, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Chemik Bydgoszcz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Stargard Szczeciński, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Lipno Stęszew, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gedania Gdansk 1.4 xG, Stargard Szczeciński 2.5 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gedania Gdansk 22%, draw 15%, Stargard Szczeciński 63%.
  • Price worth noting: Stargard Szczeciński to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gedania Gdansk 1–2 Stargard Szczeciński. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gedania Gdansk22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Draw15%fair 6.76 · @3.90
Stargard Szczeciński63%fair 1.58 · @1.85
3.85Expected goals
1.38Gedania Gdansk xG
2.47Stargard Szczeciński xG
55%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–35%

From our goals model: Gedania Gdansk 1.4 – 2.5 Stargard Szczeciński expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStargard Szczeciński to win ✗63%1.581.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85%1.171.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.83–
Draw no betStargard Szczeciński (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapStargard Szczeciński -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.441.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
First team to scoreStargard Szczeciński to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultStargard Szczeciński ahead at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stargard Szczeciński / FT Stargard Szczeciński ✗40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.17–

Recent results

Gedania Gdansk – last 6

WDLWDL
10 Oct@ Chemik Bydgoszcz3–2W
3 Octvs Victoria Września0–0D
26 Sep@ Bałtyk Koszalin1–3L
19 Sepvs Kotwica Kórnik6–1W
12 Sep@ Flota Świnoujście1–1D
5 Sepvs Luzino0–4L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Stargard Szczeciński – last 6

LWDDWL
10 Octvs Lipno Stęszew3–4L
3 Octvs Kalisz5–0W
26 Sep@ Chemik Bydgoszcz3–3D
19 Sepvs Victoria Września1–1D
12 Sep@ Bałtyk Koszalin2–0W
5 Sepvs Kotwica Kórnik2–4L
2.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gedania Gdansk and Stargard Szczeciński.

Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Środa161141+2237
2Kluczevia Stargard16934+430
3Luzino16925+1529
4Wda Świecie16853+429
5Lech Poznań II16835+1127
6Stargard Szczeciński16664+924
7Unia Swarzędz16646+422
8Bałtyk Koszalin16565+221
9Noteć Czarnków16637-221
10Kalisz16484-220
11Elana Toruń16556-320
12Gedania Gdansk16475019
13Grom Nowy Staw16619-119
14Chemik Bydgoszcz16466-518
15Flota Świnoujście16538-1318
16Lipno Stęszew164210-1114
17Victoria Września16286-1214
18Kotwica Kórnik163211-2211

More III Liga Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński?

On our numbers Gedania Gdansk have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Stargard Szczeciński 63%.

How many goals will there be in Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński?

Our predicted score is Gedania Gdansk 1–2 Stargard Szczeciński, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński?

Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.