Value bet: Stargard Szczeciński to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStargard Szczeciński to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.17
Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gedania Gdansk welcome Stargard Szczeciński for a III Liga Group 2 fixture on Saturday 17 October (11:00 WAT). In the table, Gedania Gdansk are 12th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Stargard Szczeciński are 6th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
Gedania Gdansk, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Chemik Bydgoszcz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Stargard Szczeciński, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Lipno Stęszew, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gedania Gdansk 1.4 xG, Stargard Szczeciński 2.5 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gedania Gdansk 22%, draw 15%, Stargard Szczeciński 63%.
Price worth noting: Stargard Szczeciński to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gedania Gdansk 1–2 Stargard Szczeciński. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gedania Gdansk22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Draw15%fair 6.76 · @3.90
Stargard Szczeciński63%fair 1.58 · @1.85
3.85Expected goals
1.38Gedania Gdansk xG
2.47Stargard Szczeciński xG
55%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–35%
From our goals model: Gedania Gdansk 1.4 – 2.5 Stargard Szczeciński expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stargard Szczeciński to win✗
63%
1.58
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Stargard Szczeciński (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Stargard Szczeciński -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
First team to score
Stargard Szczeciński to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Stargard Szczeciński ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stargard Szczeciński / FT Stargard Szczeciński✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Gedania Gdansk – last 6
WDLWDL
10 Oct
@ Chemik Bydgoszcz
3–2
W
3 Oct
vs Victoria Września
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Bałtyk Koszalin
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Kotwica Kórnik
6–1
W
12 Sep
@ Flota Świnoujście
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Luzino
0–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stargard Szczeciński – last 6
LWDDWL
10 Oct
vs Lipno Stęszew
3–4
L
3 Oct
vs Kalisz
5–0
W
26 Sep
@ Chemik Bydgoszcz
3–3
D
19 Sep
vs Victoria Września
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Bałtyk Koszalin
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Kotwica Kórnik
2–4
L
2.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gedania Gdansk and Stargard Szczeciński.
What is the prediction for Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński?
On our numbers Gedania Gdansk have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Stargard Szczeciński 63%.
How many goals will there be in Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Our predicted score is Gedania Gdansk 1–2 Stargard Szczeciński, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Gedania Gdansk vs Stargard Szczeciński (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.