Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultPolonia Środa to win ✗59% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Kalisz vs Polonia Środa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Kalisz v Polonia Środa in the III Liga Group 2, played at Stadion Miejski. In the table, Kalisz are 10th, lower half, on 20 points after 16 matches; Polonia Środa are 1st (leading the league) with 37. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kalisz, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lipno Stęszew, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Polonia Środa, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Lech Poznań II, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Polonia Środa, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Kalisz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kalisz 1.3 xG, Polonia Środa 2.2 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kalisz 22%, draw 19%, Polonia Środa 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kalisz 1–2 Polonia Środa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kalisz22%fair 4.53 · @3.60
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @4.00
Polonia Środa59%fair 1.71 · @1.67
3.42Expected goals
1.26Kalisz xG
2.16Polonia Środa xG
52%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Kalisz 1.3 – 2.2 Polonia Środa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Środa to win✗
59%
1.71
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Polonia Środa (draw no bet)
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Kalisz +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Polonia Środa to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Polonia Środa ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Środa / FT Polonia Środa✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Kalisz – last 6
LLLWDD
17 Oct
@ Lipno Stęszew
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Lech Poznań II
2–4
L
3 Oct
@ Stargard Szczeciński
0–5
L
27 Sep
vs Kluczevia Stargard
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Chemik Bydgoszcz
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Wda Świecie
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Polonia Środa – last 6
WWWDDW
18 Oct
@ Lech Poznań II
3–2
W
9 Oct
vs Kluczevia Stargard
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Wda Świecie
4–0
W
26 Sep
vs Elana Toruń
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Noteć Czarnków
0–0
D
11 Sep
vs Unia Swarzędz
4–3
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kalisz and Polonia Środa.
What is the prediction for Kalisz vs Polonia Środa?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Kalisz vs Polonia Środa?
On our numbers Kalisz have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Polonia Środa 59%.
How many goals will there be in Kalisz vs Polonia Środa?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kalisz vs Polonia Środa?
Our predicted score is Kalisz 1–2 Polonia Środa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Kalisz vs Polonia Środa?
Kalisz vs Polonia Środa (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
