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Victoria Września v Noteć Czarnków: numbers & prediction

Victoria Września 45%Draw 20%Noteć Czarnków 35% Expected goals 1.54 – 1.31
55%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultVictoria Września to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12

Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Noteć Czarnków travel to face Victoria Września on Saturday 24 October in the III Liga Group 2 – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Victoria Września are 17th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Noteć Czarnków are 9th (upper half) with 21.

Current form

Victoria Września, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Unia Swarzędz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Noteć Czarnków, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Bałtyk Koszalin, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Victoria Września 0–0 Noteć Czarnków.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Victoria Września 1.5 xG, Noteć Czarnków 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Victoria Września 45%, draw 20%, Noteć Czarnków 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Victoria Września 2–1 Noteć Czarnków. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Victoria Września45%fair 2.21 · @2.20
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.60
Noteć Czarnków35%fair 2.88 · @2.60
2.85Expected goals
1.54Victoria Września xG
1.31Noteć Czarnków xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Victoria Września 1.5 – 1.3 Noteć Czarnków expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVictoria Września to win ✗45%2.212.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.25–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.88–
Draw no betVictoria Września (draw no bet) ✗57%1.77–
Asian handicapNoteć Czarnków +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreVictoria Września to score first ✗51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Victoria Września / FT Victoria Września ✗25%3.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.12–

Recent results

Victoria Września – last 6

DWDDDD
17 Oct@ Unia Swarzędz0–0D
10 Octvs Grom Nowy Staw1–0W
3 Oct@ Gedania Gdansk0–0D
26 Sepvs Lipno Stęszew1–1D
19 Sep@ Stargard Szczeciński1–1D
12 Sepvs Chemik Bydgoszcz2–2D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Noteć Czarnków – last 6

LDWLDL
17 Octvs Bałtyk Koszalin0–3L
10 Oct@ Kotwica Kórnik1–1D
3 Octvs Flota Świnoujście3–0W
26 Sep@ Luzino0–2L
19 Sepvs Polonia Środa0–0D
12 Sep@ Lech Poznań II1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026Victoria Września v Noteć Czarnków0–0
Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Środa161141+2237
2Kluczevia Stargard16934+430
3Luzino16925+1529
4Wda Świecie16853+429
5Lech Poznań II16835+1127
6Stargard Szczeciński16664+924
7Unia Swarzędz16646+422
8Bałtyk Koszalin16565+221
9Noteć Czarnków16637-221
10Kalisz16484-220
11Elana Toruń16556-320
12Gedania Gdansk16475019
13Grom Nowy Staw16619-119
14Chemik Bydgoszcz16466-518
15Flota Świnoujście16538-1318
16Lipno Stęszew164210-1114
17Victoria Września16286-1214
18Kotwica Kórnik163211-2211

More III Liga Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków?

On our numbers Victoria Września have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Noteć Czarnków 35%.

How many goals will there be in Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków?

Our predicted score is Victoria Września 2–1 Noteć Czarnków, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków?

Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.