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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jagiellonia II v Pelikan Łowicz: numbers & prediction

3–0
FT
Jagiellonia II 60%Draw 17%Pelikan Łowicz 22% Expected goals 2.03 – 1.12
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Jagiellonia II to win @ 1.87 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultJagiellonia II to win ✓60% · @1.87
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11

Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan Łowicz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Pelikan Łowicz travel to face Jagiellonia II on Wednesday 19 August in the III Liga Group 1 – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Jagiellonia II are 12th, lower half, on 20 points after 16 matches; Pelikan Łowicz are 8th (upper half) with 24.

Current form

Jagiellonia II, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Warta Sieradz, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Pelikan Łowicz, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over ŁKS Łódź II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jagiellonia II 2.0 xG, Pelikan Łowicz 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jagiellonia II 60%, draw 17%, Pelikan Łowicz 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Jagiellonia II to win @1.87 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jagiellonia II 2–1 Pelikan Łowicz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jagiellonia II60%fair 1.65 · @1.87
Draw17%fair 5.84 · @3.45
Pelikan Łowicz22%fair 4.46 · @3.35
3.15Expected goals
2.03Jagiellonia II xG
1.12Pelikan Łowicz xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Jagiellonia II 2.0 – 1.1 Pelikan Łowicz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJagiellonia II to win ✓60%1.651.87 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.211.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.551.50
Draw no betJagiellonia II (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapPelikan Łowicz +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.58
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.601.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreJagiellonia II to score first ✓62%1.62–
Half-time resultJagiellonia II ahead at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jagiellonia II / FT Jagiellonia II ✓37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

Jagiellonia II – last 6

DDWWDW
15 Aug@ Warta Sieradz2–2D
7 Augvs Wigry Suwałki1–1D
31 Jul@ Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki3–2W
25 Jul@ Podlasie Biała Podlaska4–3W
30 Mayvs Wasilków1–1D
23 May@ Bełchatów2–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Pelikan Łowicz – last 6

WWWLLW
15 Augvs ŁKS Łódź II2–1W
7 Aug@ Mławianka Mława1–0W
1 Augvs Łomża3–2W
25 Julvs Kutno1–3L
22 Jul@ Wisla Plock2–3L
15 Julvs Swit2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia II and Pelikan Łowicz.

Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan Łowicz head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Weszlo161123+1435
2Wigry Suwałki161042+1634
3Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki16934+1030
4Swit16925+929
5Warta Sieradz16844+628
6Ząbkovia Ząbki16745+425
7Wisła Płock II16745+225
8Pelikan Łowicz16736+224
9Olimpia Zambrów16736+124
10ŁKS Łódź II16637-221
11Olimpia Elbląg16637-321
12Jagiellonia II16556-120
13Widzew II16547+219
14Polonia Lidzbark Warm.16538-218
15Lechia T. Mazowiecki16529-817
16Mławianka Mława164210-1514
17Troszyn16358-1514
18Łomża160412-204

More III Liga Group 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan Łowicz?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan Łowicz?

On our numbers Jagiellonia II have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Pelikan Łowicz 22%.

How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan Łowicz?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan Łowicz?

Our predicted score is Jagiellonia II 2–1 Pelikan Łowicz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan Łowicz?

Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan Łowicz (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.