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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Swit v Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki: numbers & prediction

Swit

DWWDL
1–2
FT
Swit 60%Draw 14%Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 27% Expected goals 2.16 – 1.34
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: Swit to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSwit to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58

Swit vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Swit welcome Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki for a III Liga Group 1 fixture on Wednesday 19 August (16:30 WAT). In the table, Swit are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki are 3rd (among the top four) with 30. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Swit, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Widzew II, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Ząbkovia Ząbki, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Swit 2.2 xG, Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Swit 60%, draw 14%, Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 27%.
  • Price worth noting: Swit to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Swit 2–1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Swit60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw14%fair 7.33 · @3.70
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki27%fair 3.75 · @3.00
3.50Expected goals
2.16Swit xG
1.34Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki xG
55%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Swit 2.2 – 1.3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSwit to win ✗60%1.671.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86%1.161.22 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.83–
Draw no betSwit (draw no bet) ✗69%1.45–
Asian handicapMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.511.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
First team to scoreSwit to score first ✗60%1.67–
Half-time resultSwit ahead at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Swit / FT Swit ✗36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.58–

Recent results

Swit – last 6

DWWDLL
15 Aug@ Widzew II0–0D
8 Augvs Olimpia Zambrów4–0W
1 Aug@ Polonia Lidzbark Warm.2–1W
18 Julvs Znicz Pruszków2–2D
15 Jul@ Pelikan Łowicz1–2L
30 May@ Wigry Suwałki2–3L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki – last 4

WWLL
14 Augvs Ząbkovia Ząbki3–2W
8 Aug@ Troszyn4–1W
31 Julvs Jagiellonia II2–3L
18 Jul@ Star Starachowice1–2L
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Swit and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.

Swit vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Weszlo161123+1435
2Wigry Suwałki161042+1634
3Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki16934+1030
4Swit16925+929
5Warta Sieradz16844+628
6Ząbkovia Ząbki16745+425
7Wisła Płock II16745+225
8Pelikan Łowicz16736+224
9Olimpia Zambrów16736+124
10ŁKS Łódź II16637-221
11Olimpia Elbląg16637-321
12Jagiellonia II16556-120
13Widzew II16547+219
14Polonia Lidzbark Warm.16538-218
15Lechia T. Mazowiecki16529-817
16Mławianka Mława164210-1514
17Troszyn16358-1514
18Łomża160412-204

More III Liga Group 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Swit vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Swit vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?

On our numbers Swit have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 27%.

How many goals will there be in Swit vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Swit vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?

Our predicted score is Swit 2–1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Swit vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?

Swit vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.