Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultMławianka Mława to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.00
Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mławianka Mława welcome Polonia Lidzbark Warm. for a III Liga Group 1 fixture on Saturday 17 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Mławianka Mława are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 14th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Mławianka Mława, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Olimpia Elbląg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Polonia Lidzbark Warm., last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Łomża, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Polonia Lidzbark Warm., collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Mławianka Mława.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mławianka Mława 2.0 xG, Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 1.7 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mławianka Mława 45%, draw 19%, Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mławianka Mława 2–1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mławianka Mława45%fair 2.20 · @2.05
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.75
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.35%fair 2.84 · @2.70
3.70Expected goals
1.98Mławianka Mława xG
1.72Polonia Lidzbark Warm. xG
59%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Mławianka Mława 2.0 – 1.7 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mławianka Mława to win✓
45%
2.20
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Draw no bet
Mławianka Mława (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
First team to score
Mławianka Mława to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Mławianka Mława ahead at half-time✓
36%
2.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mławianka Mława / FT Mławianka Mława✓
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.00
–
Recent results
Mławianka Mława – last 6
LLWWLL
10 Oct
@ Olimpia Elbląg
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Swit
2–4
L
25 Sep
@ Ząbkovia Ząbki
4–3
W
19 Sep
vs Troszyn
4–1
W
12 Sep
@ Jagiellonia II
4–7
L
6 Sep
vs ŁKS Łódź II
0–2
L
2.5Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. – last 6
WWDLLW
10 Oct
vs Łomża
3–2
W
3 Oct
@ Lechia T. Mazowiecki
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Weszlo
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Pelikan Łowicz
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Warta Sieradz
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Wigry Suwałki
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mławianka Mława and Polonia Lidzbark Warm..
What is the prediction for Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
On our numbers Mławianka Mława have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 35%.
How many goals will there be in Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
Our predicted score is Mławianka Mława 2–1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
