Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Wisła Płock II to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWarta Sieradz to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.69
Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Warta Sieradz v Wisła Płock II in the III Liga Group 1. In the table, Warta Sieradz are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Wisła Płock II are 7th (upper half) with 25. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Warta Sieradz, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Wigry Suwałki, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Wisła Płock II, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Troszyn, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Warta Sieradz 1–1 Wisła Płock II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Warta Sieradz 1.7 xG, Wisła Płock II 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Warta Sieradz 42%, draw 20%, Wisła Płock II 38%.
Price worth noting: Wisła Płock II to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Warta Sieradz 2–1 Wisła Płock II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Warta Sieradz42%fair 2.37 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Wisła Płock II38%fair 2.65 · @3.00
3.29Expected goals
1.70Warta Sieradz xG
1.59Wisła Płock II xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Warta Sieradz 1.7 – 1.6 Wisła Płock II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II?
On our numbers Warta Sieradz have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Wisła Płock II 38%.
How many goals will there be in Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II?
Our predicted score is Warta Sieradz 2–1 Wisła Płock II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II?
Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
