Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Eibar to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEibar to win ✗58% · @1.90
Double chanceEibar or draw ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Eibar vs Tenerife: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tenerife travel to face Eibar on Sunday 16 August in the Segunda División, with Estadio Municipal de Ipurua the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Eibar are 4th, among the top four, on 23 points after 12 matches; Tenerife are 14th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Eibar, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Unión, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Tenerife, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Leganes, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Eibar 1.6 xG, Tenerife 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Eibar 58%, draw 24%, Tenerife 18%.
Lower-risk option: Eibar or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Eibar to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Eibar or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eibar 1–0 Tenerife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Eibar58%fair 1.71 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.30
Tenerife18%fair 5.58 · @4.10
2.39Expected goals
1.63Eibar xG
0.77Tenerife xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Eibar 1.6 – 0.8 Tenerife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Eibar to win✗
58%
1.71
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Eibar or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.95
Draw no bet
Eibar (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Tenerife +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
First team to score
Eibar to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Eibar / FT Eibar✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
Eibar – last 6
DWWDDL
8 Aug
@ Real Unión
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Arenas Getxo
5–0
W
29 Jul
@ Real Sociedad II
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Athletic Club
2–2
D
18 Jul
@ Alaves
1–1
D
31 May
@ Castellón
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tenerife – last 6
DWDWLW
8 Aug
@ Leganes
0–0
D
4 Aug
vs Tamaraceite
3–2
W
1 Aug
vs Cadiz
2–2
D
26 Jul
@ Marino
6–0
W
22 Jul
vs Getafe
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Tenerife II
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eibar and Tenerife.
Our pick is Eibar or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Eibar vs Tenerife?
On our numbers Eibar have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tenerife 18%.
How many goals will there be in Eibar vs Tenerife?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eibar vs Tenerife?
Our predicted score is Eibar 1–0 Tenerife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Eibar vs Tenerife?
Eibar vs Tenerife (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
