Girona vs Leganes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leganes travel to face Girona on Sunday 16 August in the Segunda División, with Estadi Montilivi the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Girona are 8th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Leganes are 18th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Girona, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gimnastic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Leganes, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tenerife, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Leganes, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Girona.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Girona 1.8 xG, Leganes 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Girona 63%, draw 20%, Leganes 17%.
Lower-risk option: Girona or draw (83%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Girona 1–0 Leganes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Girona63%fair 1.59 · @1.64
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.60
Leganes17%fair 5.88 · @5.50
2.57Expected goals
1.80Girona xG
0.77Leganes xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Girona 1.8 – 0.8 Leganes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Girona to win✗
63%
1.59
1.64
Double chance
Girona or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.90
Draw no bet
Girona (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Girona -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
First team to score
Girona to score first
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Girona ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Girona / FT Girona✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Girona – last 6
DDLDLW
8 Aug
@ Gimnastic
1–1
D
7 Aug
vs Sabadell
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Arsenal
1–4
L
29 Jul
vs Castellón
3–3
D
25 Jul
vs Alaves
0–1
L
22 Jul
@ Olot
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leganes – last 6
DWWLLW
8 Aug
vs Tenerife
0–0
D
7 Aug
vs Mérida AD
3–0
W
4 Aug
vs Al-Rayyan SC
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Swansea
0–1
L
28 Jul
@ Real Madrid
1–4
L
24 Jul
@ Penafiel
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Girona and Leganes.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Girona vs Leganes?
On our numbers Girona have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Leganes 17%.
How many goals will there be in Girona vs Leganes?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Girona vs Leganes?
Our predicted score is Girona 1–0 Leganes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Girona vs Leganes?
Girona vs Leganes (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Montilivi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
