AD Ceuta FC 27%Draw 24%Las Palmas 49%Expected goals 1.48 – 2.04
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.35Odds
2
Value bet: Las Palmas to win @ 2.34 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLas Palmas to win ✓49% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.98
AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: AD Ceuta FC v Las Palmas in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. In the table, AD Ceuta FC are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 13 matches; Las Palmas are 10th (upper half) with 20. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AD Ceuta FC, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to FC Andorra, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Las Palmas, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Albacete, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AD Ceuta FC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Las Palmas.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Las Palmas 4–0 AD Ceuta FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AD Ceuta FC 1.5 xG, Las Palmas 2.0 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AD Ceuta FC 27%, draw 24%, Las Palmas 49%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Las Palmas to win @2.34 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.35 – longer than our fair 1.28, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AD Ceuta FC 1–2 Las Palmas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AD Ceuta FC27%fair 3.76 · @3.15
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.10
Las Palmas49%fair 2.03 · @2.34
3.53Expected goals
1.48AD Ceuta FC xG
2.04Las Palmas xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–19%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–26%
From our goals model: AD Ceuta FC 1.5 – 2.0 Las Palmas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas?
On our numbers AD Ceuta FC have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Las Palmas 49%.
How many goals will there be in AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas?
Our predicted score is AD Ceuta FC 1–2 Las Palmas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas?
AD Ceuta FC vs Las Palmas (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
