Oviedo v Leganes Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultOviedo to win ✗63% · @1.87

Double chanceOviedo or draw ✗85% · @1.18

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.75

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.22

Oviedo vs Leganes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Oviedo v Leganes in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere. In the table, Oviedo are 9th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Leganes are 18th (lower half) with 12.

Current form

Oviedo, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Granada CF, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Leganes, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Girona, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Oviedo 1.3 xG, Leganes 0.4 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Oviedo 63%, draw 22%, Leganes 15%.
Lower-risk option: Oviedo or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Oviedo to win @1.87 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oviedo 1–0 Leganes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Oviedo63%fair 1.60 · @1.87

Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10

Leganes15%fair 6.67 · @4.70

1.70Expected goals

1.29Oviedo xG

0.40Leganes xG

49%Both score

34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–024%

0–018%

2–015%

1–110%

0–17%

3–07%

From our goals model: Oviedo 1.3 – 0.4 Leganes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Oviedo to win ✗	63%	1.60	1.87 ▲
Double chance	Oviedo or draw ✗	85%	1.18	1.18
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	51%	1.94	1.75
Draw no bet	Oviedo (draw no bet) ✗	81%	1.24	–
Asian handicap	Leganes +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	59%	1.70	1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	66%	1.50	1.65 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	93%	1.08	1.07
First team to score	Oviedo to score first ✗	62%	1.61	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	52%	1.91	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Oviedo / FT Oviedo ✗	35%	2.87	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	24%	4.22	–

Oviedo – last 6

DWLWDL

15 Aug	vs Granada CF	0–0	D
8 Aug	vs Le Havre	3–2	W
1 Aug	@ 1. FC Nürnberg	1–2	L
29 Jul	vs Ponferradina	4–0	W
25 Jul	vs Deportivo La Coruna	0–0	D
17 May	vs Alaves	0–1	L

1.3Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Leganes – last 6

DDWWLL

16 Aug	@ Girona	1–1	D
8 Aug	vs Tenerife	0–0	D
7 Aug	vs Mérida AD	3–0	W
4 Aug	vs Al-Rayyan SC	2–1	W
1 Aug	@ Swansea	0–1	L
28 Jul	@ Real Madrid	1–4	L

1.2Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Team

Pts

+14

+18

-1

+10

-2

-2

-6

-6

-7

-12

-5

-2

-11

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oviedo vs Leganes?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Oviedo vs Leganes?

On our numbers Oviedo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Leganes 15%.

How many goals will there be in Oviedo vs Leganes?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oviedo vs Leganes?

Our predicted score is Oviedo 1–0 Leganes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Oviedo vs Leganes?

Oviedo vs Leganes (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Oviedo v Leganes: numbers & prediction