Burgos vs Real Sociedad II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Burgos welcome Real Sociedad II to Municipal El Plantio for a Segunda División fixture on Monday 31 August (18:00 WAT). In the table, Burgos are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 13 matches; Real Sociedad II are 17th (lower half) with 12. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Burgos, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sporting Gijon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Real Sociedad II, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Albacete, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Burgos, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Real Sociedad II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burgos 1.8 xG, Real Sociedad II 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burgos 62%, draw 24%, Real Sociedad II 15%.
Lower-risk option: Burgos or draw (85%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burgos 1–0 Real Sociedad II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burgos62%fair 1.62 · @1.69
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.45
Real Sociedad II15%fair 6.88 · @5.30
2.48Expected goals
1.76Burgos xG
0.72Real Sociedad II xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Burgos 1.8 – 0.7 Real Sociedad II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burgos to win✗
62%
1.62
1.69
Double chance
Burgos or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.95
Draw no bet
Burgos (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Burgos -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Burgos to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Burgos ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burgos / FT Burgos✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.69
–
Recent results
Burgos – last 6
LWDLWW
23 Aug
@ Sporting Gijon
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Cordoba
3–2
W
8 Aug
vs Cultural Leonesa
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs Athletic Club
0–3
L
29 Jul
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
1–0
W
31 May
vs FC Andorra
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Sociedad II – last 6
WLLLLW
22 Aug
@ Albacete
2–1
W
14 Aug
vs Castellón
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Zaragoza
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Huesca
0–2
L
29 Jul
vs Eibar
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs PAU
4–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burgos and Real Sociedad II.
What is the prediction for Burgos vs Real Sociedad II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Burgos vs Real Sociedad II?
On our numbers Burgos have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Sociedad II 15%.
How many goals will there be in Burgos vs Real Sociedad II?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burgos vs Real Sociedad II?
Our predicted score is Burgos 1–0 Real Sociedad II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Burgos vs Real Sociedad II?
Burgos vs Real Sociedad II (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal El Plantio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
