Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCastellón to win ✓57% · @1.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.00
Celta de Vigo II vs Castellón: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Celta de Vigo II welcome Castellón to Municipal de Barreiro for a Segunda División fixture on Monday 31 August (20:30 WAT). In the table, Celta de Vigo II are 16th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Castellón are 2nd (among the top four) with 27. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Celta de Vigo II, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over FC Andorra, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Castellón, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sabadell, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Celta de Vigo II, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Castellón.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celta de Vigo II 0.8 xG, Castellón 1.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celta de Vigo II 22%, draw 20%, Castellón 57%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.45 – longer than our fair 1.38, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celta de Vigo II 0–1 Castellón. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celta de Vigo II22%fair 4.47 · @4.10
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.70
Castellón57%fair 1.74 · @1.81
2.32Expected goals
0.80Celta de Vigo II xG
1.53Castellón xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–112%
0–211%
0–010%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Celta de Vigo II 0.8 – 1.5 Castellón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellón to win✓
57%
1.74
1.81
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.60
Draw no bet
Castellón (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Celta de Vigo II +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.17
First team to score
Castellón to score first✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellón / FT Castellón✓
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.00
–
Recent results
Celta de Vigo II – last 6
WDWWDD
24 Aug
vs FC Andorra
4–2
W
15 Aug
@ Cadiz
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Vizela
1–0
W
20 Jun
vs Ponferradina
4–1
W
13 Jun
@ Ponferradina
0–0
D
7 Jun
vs Europa Fc
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Castellón – last 6
DWLDLD
23 Aug
vs Sabadell
0–0
D
14 Aug
@ Real Sociedad II
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Levante
1–3
L
7 Aug
@ Hércules
0–0
D
31 Jul
@ Alaves
0–3
L
29 Jul
@ Girona
3–3
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celta de Vigo II and Castellón.
What is the prediction for Celta de Vigo II vs Castellón?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Celta de Vigo II vs Castellón?
On our numbers Celta de Vigo II have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Castellón 57%.
How many goals will there be in Celta de Vigo II vs Castellón?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celta de Vigo II vs Castellón?
Our predicted score is Celta de Vigo II 0–1 Castellón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Celta de Vigo II vs Castellón?
Celta de Vigo II vs Castellón (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Barreiro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
