Value bet: Real Sociedad II to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal Sociedad II to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.59
AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Sociedad II travel to face AD Ceuta FC on Saturday 26 September in the Segunda División, with Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, AD Ceuta FC are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 13 matches; Real Sociedad II are 17th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
AD Ceuta FC, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Valladolid, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Real Sociedad II, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mallorca, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Real Sociedad II, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for AD Ceuta FC.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended AD Ceuta FC 0–0 Real Sociedad II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AD Ceuta FC 1.4 xG, Real Sociedad II 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AD Ceuta FC 37%, draw 22%, Real Sociedad II 41%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Real Sociedad II to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Real Sociedad II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AD Ceuta FC37%fair 2.71 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
Real Sociedad II41%fair 2.42 · @2.70
2.81Expected goals
1.35AD Ceuta FC xG
1.45Real Sociedad II xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: AD Ceuta FC 1.4 – 1.5 Real Sociedad II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
On our numbers AD Ceuta FC have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Sociedad II 41%.
How many goals will there be in AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
Our predicted score is AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Real Sociedad II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
