Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTenerife to win ✗57% · @1.90
Double chanceTenerife or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Tenerife vs Cadiz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tenerife welcome Cadiz to Heliodoro Rodríguez López for a Segunda División fixture on Saturday 26 September (17:30 WAT). In the table, Tenerife are 14th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Cadiz are 20th (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Tenerife, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Castellón, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Cadiz, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Girona, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tenerife, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Cadiz.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Tenerife 2–2 Cadiz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tenerife 1.6 xG, Cadiz 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tenerife 57%, draw 25%, Cadiz 19%.
Lower-risk option: Tenerife or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tenerife or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tenerife 1–0 Cadiz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tenerife57%fair 1.76 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.25
Cadiz19%fair 5.39 · @4.33
2.37Expected goals
1.59Tenerife xG
0.78Cadiz xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Tenerife 1.6 – 0.8 Cadiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Tenerife or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tenerife vs Cadiz?
On our numbers Tenerife have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cadiz 19%.
How many goals will there be in Tenerife vs Cadiz?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tenerife vs Cadiz?
Our predicted score is Tenerife 1–0 Cadiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tenerife vs Cadiz?
Tenerife vs Cadiz (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Heliodoro Rodríguez López.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.