Value bet: Eibar to win @ 2.40 – our chance 49% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEibar to win ✓49% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Albacete vs Eibar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Segunda División brings Albacete against Eibar at Carlos Belmonte. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Albacete are 21st, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 13 matches; Eibar are 4th (among the top four) with 23. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Albacete, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Girona, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Eibar, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Las Palmas, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Eibar, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.2 for Albacete.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Albacete 0–3 Eibar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albacete 1.1 xG, Eibar 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albacete 27%, draw 23%, Eibar 49%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Eibar to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albacete 1–1 Eibar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albacete27%fair 3.64 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.10
Eibar49%fair 2.02 · @2.40
2.64Expected goals
1.08Albacete xG
1.56Eibar xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Albacete 1.1 – 1.6 Eibar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Albacete vs Eibar?
On our numbers Albacete have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Eibar 49%.
How many goals will there be in Albacete vs Eibar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albacete vs Eibar?
Our predicted score is Albacete 1–1 Eibar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Albacete vs Eibar?
Albacete vs Eibar (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Carlos Belmonte.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
