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Celta de Vigo II v Real Sociedad II: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Spain · Municipal de Balaídos
Celta de Vigo II 39%Draw 22%Real Sociedad II 39% Expected goals 1.50 – 1.50
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2

Value bet: Real Sociedad II to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCelta de Vigo II to win ✓39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.89

Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Celta de Vigo II v Real Sociedad II in the Segunda División, played at Municipal de Balaídos. In the table, Celta de Vigo II are 16th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Real Sociedad II are 17th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Celta de Vigo II, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sporting Gijon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Real Sociedad II, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Granada CF, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Celta de Vigo II 1.5 xG, Real Sociedad II 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Celta de Vigo II 39%, draw 22%, Real Sociedad II 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Real Sociedad II to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celta de Vigo II 1–1 Real Sociedad II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Celta de Vigo II39%fair 2.55 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Real Sociedad II39%fair 2.56 · @2.88
3.00Expected goals
1.50Celta de Vigo II xG
1.50Real Sociedad II xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Celta de Vigo II 1.5 – 1.5 Real Sociedad II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCelta de Vigo II to win ✓39%2.552.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.60
Draw no betCelta de Vigo II (draw no bet) ✓50%2.00–
Asian handicapReal Sociedad II +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.23–
First team to scoreCelta de Vigo II to score first ✓48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Celta de Vigo II / FT Celta de Vigo II ✓22%4.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.89–

Recent results

Celta de Vigo II – last 6

LDLLWL
4 Oct@ Sporting Gijon2–3L
26 Sepvs Sabadell1–1D
20 Sep@ Almeria0–2L
14 Sepvs Eibar0–4L
5 Sep@ AD Ceuta FC2–0W
31 Augvs Castellón1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Sociedad II – last 6

LWLLLW
4 Octvs Granada CF2–3L
30 Sep@ Leicester City U214–0W
26 Sep@ AD Ceuta FC1–3L
19 Sepvs Mallorca0–1L
15 Sep@ Aston Villa U211–5L
12 Sep@ FC Andorra3–1W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Celta de Vigo II and Real Sociedad II.

Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Almeria13922+1429
2Castellón12831+1827
3Burgos13733+524
4Eibar12723+723
5Granada CF12723+623
6Mallorca12642+822
7Sporting Gijon13715-122
8Girona13634+1021
9Oviedo13634+321
10Las Palmas13625-220
11Cordoba13616019
12Valladolid13535+218
13Sabadell13463+118
14Tenerife12363-215
15Eldense13427-614
16Celta de Vigo II13346-613
17Real Sociedad II13337-712
18Leganes13337-1212
19FC Andorra12327-511
20Cadiz13247-210
21Albacete13319-1110
22AD Ceuta FC131210-205

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II?

On our numbers Celta de Vigo II have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Sociedad II 39%.

How many goals will there be in Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II?

Our predicted score is Celta de Vigo II 1–1 Real Sociedad II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II?

Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Balaídos.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.